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XAUUSD trade ideas

gold heading back to retest 3450gold heading back to retest 3450 so what happened to gold yesterday? unemployment claims suppose to be that USD is strong however after the news effect the bull run started again. technical basis is that H4 last structure was broken up and the day before happens to be a spike from 3320 to 3377. which indicate there are buyers in the market only that we will be caught off-guard most of the time. likewise yesterday. new gave a technical that m30/h1 broke down of current market structure whereby 3326-3328 was suppose to be a support before becomes resistance but bull came in with surprise again pushes price to break even 3341 resistance. after analyzing no wonder as fibo golden ratio is sitting at 3310 and that was a good point of interest to buy and hold for 1st destination would be at 3365-3378 and 3414-3427 and lastly to retest 3450 as well as weekly broke trendline to see if there's true seller to push price for a proper correction of the year or back to ATH which usually new ATH happens in July often for the past 5years.
TVC:GOLDLong
by HAN_Simply_Trade
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – July 15, 2025As outlined in our previous analyses, we anticipated a potential reversal before gold could reach the $3400 zone. We also noted that any upward movement followed by a solid rejection could offer a valid short (sell) opportunity. 📉 Yesterday’s market reaction to the CPI release, with a drop of nearly 500 pips, has now confirmed this bearish setup. 📌 Based on current price structure, the $3350–$3360 area appears ideal for seeking short entries. 🎯 All target levels previously mentioned remain valid and in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SineHeidari
Gold is coming to our target✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD As analyzed on Monday, the market touched the BUY zone at 3345 and continued the bullish wave structure, heading toward the 3400 level. If gold breaks above 3373, it will likely continue its strong upward momentum. Therefore, it is advised to avoid trading against the trend once the 3373 level is broken. On the other hand, if gold breaks below the key support level at 3343 (yesterday's U.S. session barrier), the current uptrend may temporarily pause. In that case, gold will need to find new momentum to establish a fresh market trend. 📉 Key Levels SUPPORT: 3343 - 3330 - 3313 RESISTANCE: 3373-3387-3400 Hold BUY order 3345 with target 3400 SELL trigger: Rejection of prices 3373, 3387 with confirmation from sellers SELL 3400 Strong resistance zone Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
1
Can gold continue to fall slowly sideways? Focus on the 3375 wat On Tuesday, spot gold fell back mildly after yesterday's surge. The current gold price is around $3,384/ounce. Spot gold prices surged more than 1% on Monday and hit a five-week high. The main reason was that the US dollar and US bond yields plummeted, and investors were uneasy about the approaching deadline for tariff negotiations on August 1. The market is facing various uncertainties, which does provide support for gold. Views on today's gold trend! After more than a month of volatile trends, gold once again broke through the integer mark of 3,400 on the first trading day of this week. Under the current bullish sentiment of creating a new high, the previous short-term downward trend ended. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend in the long term. The previous market rebounded effectively after touching the downward trend line, and the rebound force was considerable. With the restart of the bullish force, the main idea can carry the trend and buy on dips. From the 4-hour chart, the continuous rise of gold and the turning of the moving average have made the market bulls more aggressive, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. At present, a new trend is opening up in the 4-hour chart. The rise of gold has also established an upward trend line. You can consider buying on dips against the 3375 watershed. Gold: Buy near 3375, defend 65, and target 3405-3410!
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is testing our sell entry at 3392.84, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 3377.57, a pullback support level. The stop loss will be placed at 3411.50, which is a swing high resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
Report - 21 jully, 2025Executive Summary – Multi-Event Market Pulse UK Retreats on Encryption Order: Facing U.S. tech retaliation risk, London softens its demand that Apple create backdoor access. Apple and WhatsApp resist, Washington defends encryption integrity. → Positive for U.S. tech (Apple, Meta), bullish Nasdaq, bearish UK regulatory credibility. EU Confronts Italy and Spain Over Bank M&A Blocks: Brussels says national vetoes breach merger law. Push to consolidate banking into “EU champions.” → Bullish for European bank stocks if deal-making resumes. EUR volatility risk if tensions escalate. Japan’s PM Under Fire After Upper House Loss: LDP loses majority amid cost-of-living and immigration backlash. PM Ishiba struggles to reach tariff deal with U.S. → Bearish for JPY near-term, pressure on USDJPY to rise. Uncertainty weakens Japanese equities. Trump’s First 6 Months: Tariffs, ICE Raids, Fed Tensions, and Executive Rule: DXY at risk as dollar has worst year since 1973. Tariffs at 8.8% effective rate; targeting copper, autos next. 170 executive orders destabilize governance and investor sentiment. “One Big Beautiful Bill” cuts taxes, axes Medicaid, boosts ICE funding. → Supports short-term U.S. GDP but structurally negative for dollar and fiscal outlook. Audit Regulator Shakeup: PCAOB chief removed; deregulation wave begins. → Increased risk for audit quality in U.S. equities. Long-term trust implications. London Stock Exchange Eyes 24-Hour Trading: In response to retail and crypto-driven demand. → Bullish for UK capital markets infrastructure long-term; potential tech strain and regulatory pushback. Copper Markets Shaken by Tariff Uncertainty: Codelco warns of U.S. demand disruption. Supply chain anxiety for EVs, data centers. → Copper price volatility likely; bearish short-term if tariffs confirmed. ECB Focused on Euro Strength’s Disinflation: Unlikely to comment amid tariff fog. → EUR strength may persist absent pushback; pressure on export-reliant EU names. U.S. PMI and UK Retail Data Awaited: PMIs expected to cool modestly. UK data may worsen amid inflation and tax burdens. → Short-term equity volatility possible. GBP faces downside bias. Strategic Forecast & Market Reaction 1. US–UK Encryption Clash The UK government is being forced to retreat from its encryption crackdown targeting Apple’s most secure cloud services after escalating pressure from U.S. leadership, including Vice President JD Vance and President Trump. With Apple and Meta resisting surveillance backdoors and withdrawing services from the UK, tech-sector alignment with U.S. privacy norms is reaffirmed. Britain’s attempt to enforce decryption via the Investigatory Powers Act triggered transatlantic diplomatic strain, risking bilateral tech partnerships. Market Impact: Bullish for large-cap U.S. tech (especially Apple, Meta), supportive of Nasdaq (NDX) and S&P 500 (SPX) tech sector weight. UK regulatory credibility weakens, negative for UK-listed tech firms. Expect near-term outperformance of U.S. tech relative to EU/UK peers. U.S. surveillance policy divergence also solidifies investor bias toward Silicon Valley over European counterparts. 2. EU–Italy/Spain Banking Intervention Brussels’ direct challenge to Italian and Spanish interference in major bank mergers marks a potential turning point in European financial consolidation. Legal warnings to Meloni’s government and formal notice to Spain over BBVA–Sabadell freeze signal EU commitment to a unified capital market. Market Impact: Bullish for EU bank equities (e.g., UniCredit, BBVA, Banco BPM) if mergers are unblocked. EUR may gain if consolidation expectations rise. Sovereign risk premium in Italy/Spain could briefly widen. European bank ETFs (e.g., EUFN) may attract inflows. 3. Japan’s Political Shakeup Prime Minister Ishiba faces an internal leadership challenge after losing the LDP’s upper house majority. Tariff tensions with the U.S., especially affecting Japan’s auto sector, add pressure. The rise of populist and xenophobic parties adds volatility. Market Impact: Bearish for JPY (USDJPY bullish bias). Risk-off sentiment may suppress Nikkei momentum. Japanese auto stocks face downside on unresolved U.S. tariff risks. Foreign investors may pause equity allocations pending leadership clarity. 4. Trump’s Institutional Shockwaves Six months into his second term, Trump’s sweeping executive agenda — including $64B in tariff revenue, Fed destabilization, mass ICE arrests, and the “One Big Beautiful Bill” — is reshaping U.S. macro dynamics. Dollar weakness (-12% YTD), structural fiscal erosion, and regulatory disintegration (PCAOB ouster, Musk-led “Doge” agency cuts) risk undermining long-term asset trust. Market Impact: DXY: Structural weakening pressure → 🔻 XAUUSD: Supported by institutional instability → 🔼 SPX: Volatile with upside if GDP stays strong, but institutional drag rising → 🔁 2Y/10Y Yields: Sticky inflation + fiscal dysfunction = steeper curve → 🔼 Copper (HG1): At risk from U.S. tariff uncertainty → 🔻 short-term Key Global Asset Reactions XAUUSD (Gold): Institutional erosion and rising CPI expectations support gold. If Powell is forced out or dollar drops further, gold likely reclaims $3,400+. Direction: 🔼 Medium-term S&P 500 / SPX: Rotation into financials, M&A resurgence, and U.S. tech resilience provide upside offset. But tax/reform volatility raises headline risk. Direction: 🔁 Near-term; 🔼 if earnings beat USDJPY: LDP instability + Fed yield premium = weak yen. Unless Ishiba resigns and risk-off returns, 150–152 in play. Direction: 🔼 Short-term DXY: Threatened by executive overreach, weakening investor trust, and fiscal imbalance. Could breach 103 to the downside if data turns. Direction: 🔻 Structural bias Crude Oil (WTI): Geopolitical bid (Japan, copper disruption) offset by global macro risk. Could trade $65–$70 range. Direction: 🔁 Neutral for now Dow Jones: Outperformance due to dividend bias, financials strength, and lower tech exposure. Value rotation continues. Direction: 🔼 Steady upside
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Today's GOLD Analysis – Structural Breakout and Bullish Setup🔷 1. Descending Channel – End of Bearish Phase The chart initially shows Gold trading inside a well-defined descending channel, where price was consistently respecting both upper and lower trendlines. This movement reflected short-term bearish pressure, likely driven by fundamental uncertainty and lower time frame liquidity grabs. However, the price broke above the channel with a strong bullish candle, which is a clear sign of momentum shift. Breakouts like these usually signify the end of a corrective phase and the beginning of a trend reversal or impulsive leg. 🔷 2. Minor Break of Structure (BOS) – First Confirmation Following the channel breakout, price broke through a minor structure zone around 3,345–3,350, confirming a short-term change in market direction. This zone, previously acting as resistance, is now functioning as support (noted as “Minor SR - Interchange” on the chart). This BOS is important because it represents the first break of a lower high in the previous downtrend, which is an early sign that buyers are stepping in with strength. 🔷 3. Retest and Clean Reaction – Support Validated After breaking structure, the market retraced back into the broken zone, validating it as new support. This is a classic market behavior where price retests previous resistance to gather liquidity before moving higher — a key concept in Smart Money Concepts (SMC). The bullish rejection from this zone further confirms the validity of the breakout and indicates that institutional buyers may be active in this region. 🔷 4. Current Price Action – Building Momentum Price is now hovering near 3,355, building bullish structure with a series of higher highs and higher lows. This setup aligns with a continuation move toward the next liquidity target or resistance zone, which is: ✅ Reversal Zone: 3,375–3,380 This zone is marked as the next high-probability area where price might: Face short-term resistance Grab liquidity above previous highs Possibly react with a pullback The highlighted reversal zone (target: 3,378.23) is crucial because: It aligns with previous supply It could act as a decision point for larger time frame traders It’s where a Major Break of Structure might occur if price breaks and holds above it 🔷 5. Projection & Scenario Planning Here’s how the next move could play out: Bullish Scenario: If price maintains support above the 3,350 zone, a rally toward 3,378 is expected. A strong close above this level would shift the larger structure bullish, confirming a major trend reversal. Bearish Scenario (Short-Term): If price fails to break 3,378, we could see a pullback into the 3,345–3,350 area again. However, as long as this support holds, the bullish bias remains intact. 🔐 Key Technical Concepts Used: Channel Breakout Minor BOS & SR Flip Liquidity Sweep Reversal Zone (Supply Area) Trend Structure Shift 📌 Conclusion: Gold has broken out of its bearish channel and confirmed a short-term bullish structure. The recent breakout and retest give buyers a strong foundation to push toward the 3,378 zone. This is the key reversal area, and the reaction from here will define whether Gold continues to rally or faces a temporary pullback. For now, bulls are in control, and the market structure supports a continuation move.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 21, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis - D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently rising → the dominant trend over the next 3 days is likely to remain bullish. - H4 Timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold area → just one more bearish H4 candle could complete the entry into oversold territory. - H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse downward → suggesting a short-term corrective pullback in the current session. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update On the H4 chart, price continues to consolidate within a corrective triangle structure. According to our previous plan, price approached the 3358 zone, and we expect: - Wave 1 (black) may have completed at the 3358 high. - Currently, Wave 2 (black) is likely unfolding: + Wave A appears to have completed. + The current upward leg is part of Wave B. + A final drop in Wave C is expected, with two key target zones: - Target 1: 3342 - Target 2: 3332 🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure - If price breaks above 3358, we want to see a sharp, impulsive, and steep rally to confirm the beginning of Wave 3. - If price movement remains choppy or overlapping, the market is likely still in a corrective phase. - Key resistance zone to monitor: 3390–3402 – a clean breakout above this range would significantly strengthen the Wave 3 scenario. 📌 Trade Plan 1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 Entry Zone: 3343 – 3341 Stop Loss: 3337 Take Profit 1: 3358 Take Profit 2: 3390 2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 Entry Zone: 3333 – 3331 Stop Loss: 3323 Take Profit 1: 3358 Take Profit 2: 3390 📎 Note: Prioritize entries that come with clear confirmation signals from price action and momentum. Avoid buying during choppy or indecisive market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 3339.71, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 3370.26, a swing high resistance. The stop loss is placed at 3307.53, a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
Gold: Range Respect or Breakout Attempt? Two Tactical PlaysGold’s still technically trending up, but momentum is fading with failed attempts to push into new all-time highs. This setup explores two potential plays: one conservative and one aggressive. Both anticipate a move down toward the lower boundary of the current range before buyers step in. Whether we bounce off the base or push higher for a breakout attempt, the key thesis is that at least one range structure holds. Tactical trades with defined risk, waiting for the market to tip its hand.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by TradingNutCom
July 21, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportuntiySummary: Gold remains within a 3310–3375 consolidation range — continue to treat it as range-bound: sell near resistance, buy near support. From a narrower perspective, the 3330–3333 support zone is holding, but stop-loss costs are high in this area, so caution is advised. Overall, stay flexible and monitor key levels closely. React to price action and manage risk accordingly. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Range top • 3366 – Resistance • 3358 – Resistance • 3350 – Midpoint • 3345 – Support • 3336 – Support • 3330–3333 – Support zone • 3320 – Key intraday support / range bottom • 3310 – Key support • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3345 → target 3339, then 3332, 3325, 3320 • BUY if price holds above 3360 → target 3366, then 3370, 3375, 3380 👉 If you’d like to learn how I time my entries and place stop-losses, give this post a like — if enough people are interested, I’ll update this post to include more details soon! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold Trading Strategy For Next Week✅ Gold exhibited an irregular box-range consolidation this week, with frequent directional shifts and weak trend continuity. The price tested the 3375 level twice but failed to break through effectively, followed by significant pullbacks each time—indicating clear selling pressure around that area. On the technical side, the Bollinger Bands on both the daily and 4-hour charts have contracted simultaneously, suggesting that gold is currently in a consolidation phase, awaiting a breakout to define the next direction. Overall, gold remains trapped within a broad range, with neither the upside nor downside achieving a decisive breakout. Whether the range will be broken—and in which direction—will likely be determined next week. ✅ On Friday, gold mainly trended higher within a narrow range, in line with previous expectations. During the session, we initiated a short position around 3341–3343, took profit near 3333, and subsequently shifted to a long bias. Gold then climbed to around 3361 before entering a sideways consolidation phase, closing the day near 3350. In the absence of major geopolitical news over the weekend, the bullish momentum is expected to continue into next week. ✅ From a technical perspective, the 4-hour moving average system shows a bullish divergence pattern, supporting the current upward trend. Combined with the continuation of the overnight rebound momentum, gold may target the 3380 level in the coming week. The MACD fast line is turning upward near the high zone and may soon form another bullish crossover. Meanwhile, the shrinking green histogram bars suggest that positive momentum could emerge soon. The KDJ indicator still has room to rise before reaching the overbought zone. ✅ Key short-term support levels lie at 3345 and 3340. As long as this zone holds, it can be considered a valid entry point for long positions. On the upside, attention should be paid to the 3375–3380 resistance range, which aligns with previous highs. A successful breakout above this zone could pave the way for further upside potential. 🔴 Key resistance zone: 3375–3380 🟢 Key support zone: 3340–3345 ✅ If the 3340 support holds, consider entering long positions on dips, with a target near 3380. If prices approach 3380 and show signs of losing momentum—such as divergence in indicators—it may be appropriate to consider shorting near the top, and then reassess after a pullback toward support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradePro