GOLD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3328.1 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 3340.9
Recommended Stop Loss - 3320.8
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD trade ideas
Xauusd and Gold moves down Market Bias: Structured Bullish (with Liquidity Grab)
Chart Date: July 18, 2025
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🔎 1. Market Structure Analysis:
✅ CHoCH: Trend reversal confirmed near July 3, where lower highs broke and bulls gained control.
✅ BMS: Break of market structure confirms bullish control after price broke multiple internal lower highs.
🔁 Internal Liquidity Sweep: Price swept recent lows near 3330 to collect liquidity before moving up — classic smart money move.
🔼 Higher Lows (HL) forming after FVG fills, indicating strength.
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🧱 2. Key Zones & Confluence:
🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
✅ Bullish FVG at 3340–3345: recently tapped and respected → confirms institutional interest.
🔼 Unfilled FVG above 3360 → potential magnet for price.
🔹 EMAs:
2 dynamic EMAs (approx. 50 & 34): price cleanly broke above both and retested → bullish signal.
🔹 Support/Order Blocks:
Strong demand zone: 3322–3332 (where liquidity sweep occurred).
Hidden bullish OB under FVG, giving triple confluence (Structure + FVG + OB).
🔹 Resistance/Supply Zone:
Clean rejection zone around 3365–3368. Final TP or area to watch for reversal.
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📊 3. Trade Setup: (Swing Trade – Smart Money Based)
🟢 Entry:
Ideal Entry Zone: 3342–3348
(Pullback into FVG + OB + EMA + bullish candle confirmation)
🔴 Stop Loss:
Below liquidity grab low: 3320 (well-protected SL below breaker block)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 3360 (next minor resistance + FVG top)
TP2: 3368 (major supply zone)
TP3 (Optional Swing): 3382–3390 (if breakout confirms)
📈 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Minimum 1:3 — Excellent swing setup for pro traders
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⚠️ 4. Risk Management & Notes:
Avoid trading during red folder news (USD-related events shown below).
If price closes below 3320 on 4H, re-evaluate bias.
Monitor 1H for confirmation entry: bullish engulfing or BOS + OB.
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🧠 5. Pro Tips (TradingView Discipline):
Use alerts at 3345 and 3360.
Never revenge trade if SL hits. Reassess bias with structure shift.
Journaling this trade is important: track how FVG/CHOCH/BMS interact.
Xauusd and gold chart move bullish 📈 GOLD (XAUUSD) – 4H Technical Professional Idea Description
⚡️ Market Bias: Bullish Until Proven Otherwise
🧠 Idea Overview:
The current 4H structure on XAUUSD shows multiple Bullish CHoCH and BMS (Break of Market Structure) confirmations after price rejected from the previous supply zone. We are now trading above the 4H FVG zone and just reclaimed the mid-supply area with strength. This suggests a bullish continuation is likely as long as price holds above the current fair value gap and EMA confluence.
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🔍 Key Observations:
1. Strong Bullish CHoCH + BMS Confirmations:
Multiple bullish CHoCHs confirm a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.
A recent BMS shows higher highs being formed – clear bullish intent.
2. FVG Reclaim + Reaction:
Price aggressively filled and bounced from multiple bullish Fair Value Gaps (FVG).
Most recent FVG has held and price is pushing upward with momentum.
3. EMA Support Confluence:
EMA 20 and EMA 50 are providing dynamic support (Blue & Pink lines).
Price bounced directly off EMA and resumed upward momentum.
4. Liquidity Above Still Untapped:
Liquidity exists above 3362, 3369, and 3371 zones.
These are likely targets if bullish continuation persists.
5. Demand Zone Below Is Respected:
Strong reaction from the demand block around 3311–3322, validating buyer interest.
Until this zone breaks with high volume, bias remains bullish.
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🎯 Trade Setup Idea (Hypothetical Example)
Entry Zone: Around 3345–3352 (pullback/retest to reclaimed FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Below 3332 (beneath last demand + structure invalidation)
Target 1: 3362
Target 2: 3369–3372 (liquidity sweep zone)
Target 3 (extended): 3395+ if momentum and macro fundamentals support continuation.
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🔐 Risk Management Notes:
No entry if FVG fails and price closes below 3330 (Invalidation of bullish structure).
Watch for macro events (USD news marked on chart) before entry — High impact events can cause whipsaws.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD , Bullish Setup , R:R 17Hello friends
I am back after a long time and I want to share the results of my efforts of several years with you.
Gold is starting a 5th wave of bullishness and yesterday it gave us the necessary confirmations by rejecting the previous ceiling. I have identified the best buying position for you now. With a reward to risk 17
Take advantage of this opportunity.
If you are interested in Elliott waves or work in this field at a professional level, contact me and share your analysis with me.
I hope we will all be profitable together.
July 17, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Although price pierced above 3375, it failed to hold. The market remains range-bound between 3320 and 3375 — treat it as a range for now, favoring shorts near the top and longs near the bottom. On a narrower view, 3358 is a key resistance — shorting near 3358 offers good risk-reward. Watch the strength of support around 3346. Stay flexible, respect key levels, follow the trend, and manage risk wisely.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3393 – Resistance
• 3384 – Resistance
• 3375 – Top of range
• 3366 – Resistance
• 3358 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint
• 3343 – Key support
• 3332–3336 – Support zone
• 3320 – Intraday key support / Bottom of range
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological level
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3346 → watch 3343, then 3336, 3332, 3325
• BUY if price holds above 3358 → target 3366, then 3370, 3377, 3384
👉 If you’d like to learn how I time my entries and place stop-losses, give this post a like — if enough people are interested, I’ll update this post to include more details soon!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Fake news stirs up the market, market trend analysis📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today, our overall trading can be said to have accurately grasped the trading points, and both long and short positions have earned us good profits.The gold market surged due to Trump's intention to fire Powell. Trump then denied the plan, which dissipated the risk aversion in the gold market and the overall rhythm fell back to a volatile pattern. The current market price of gold closed with a long upper shadow line, indicating that there is a certain need for adjustment in the market. Although the news stimulus has pushed it up to 3377, we need to be vigilant against the risk of a decline after a high rise. Pay attention to today's closing. If it closes below 3345, the bearish trend may continue in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold market trend analysis and exclusive analysis.Analysis of the latest gold market trends:
Analysis of gold news: The U.S. Department of Labor released the much-anticipated June Consumer Price Index (CPI) data at 20:30 Beijing time. After the CPI data was released, the financial market responded quickly, showing investors' recalibration of inflation data and monetary policy expectations. The U.S. dollar index (DXY) fell 16 points in the short term after the data was released, reflecting the market's interpretation of the core CPI being slightly lower than expected, which was dovish. The gold market reacted particularly sensitively. The core CPI was lower than expected, pushing spot gold up by $6 in the short term, indicating a brief rebound in safe-haven demand. In the short term, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is close to 100%, but the mild performance of the core CPI reserves the possibility of a rate cut in September or earlier. The market needs to pay close attention to subsequent data, especially the July CPI and PCE price index, to determine whether inflation will continue to rise.
Gold technical analysis: This week's upward breakthrough of 3375 further bullish on the 3400 mark; the daily average line diverges upward to support bulls, and bullish on bullish gains. However, if you want to rise, you must exert your strength today, otherwise the bulls may end at any time! The current support level is near the daily MA5 and the middle track. The next step is still the focus. If you want to rise, you can't go down here. Going down means continuing to sweep back to 3320 and 3300. Today's European session also broke high without continuation, and the US session formed a retracement to test the MA5 support level. As long as the middle track is not lost, the short-term will continue to touch the high, so the operation is very clear. In the short term, the short-term will rely on the support of the middle track to see a rebound, and the upper resistance is 3665-3375. The daily Bollinger Bands continue to close. If the upper 3375 is not broken, do not chase the high position, and beware of high-level selling. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold recommends that the callback is mainly long, and the rebound is supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 3350-3360 line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3320-3310 line support.
uptrend, heading towards 3400⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) climb toward $3,350 in early Asian trading on Tuesday, supported by renewed safe-haven demand after US President Donald Trump threatened sweeping 100% tariffs on Russia. Traders now shift focus to the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could offer further cues for the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Late Monday, Trump warned that unless Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to a peace deal to end the Ukraine conflict within 50 days, the US will impose 100% tariffs on Russian goods. The proposed sanctions, described as secondary tariffs, lack detailed clarification but have already fueled market anxiety. Heightened geopolitical tensions are likely to sustain near-term demand for gold as investors seek safety in the yellow metal
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Maintaining buying pressure above 3350, gold price in an uptrend, paying attention to CPI results to assess the inflation level of the world's number 1 economy
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3400- 3402 SL 3407
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3330-$3328 SL $3323
TP1: $3340
TP2: $3350
TP3: $3360
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD (XAUUSD) Long Idea – Breakout Confirmation📆 Timeframe: 4H
📈 Type: Long (Buy)
🎯 Entry: Around 3348-3355
🎯 Target: 3451
NOTE: Price has respected the ascending trendline from early July.
Clean breakout from a consolidation range after several rejections near 3365 resistance.
Bullish structure confirmed with higher lows and higher highs.
Fibonacci levels and support zone at ~3344 are holding strong.
Targets set at prior resistance zone (~3451), aligning with liquidity zone.
Is Gold Preparing for a Breakout — or a Trap? 🟡 Is Gold Preparing for a Breakout — or a Trap? Let’s break down the latest market data 👇
⸻
🟥 1. U.S. Inflation News (PPI & Core PPI)
Report Previous Forecast Actual
Monthly PPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Core PPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
📉 Result: Very bearish for the U.S. dollar
→ Inflation is cooling
→ Fed may pause rate hikes
→ Interest rates could stabilize or drop
→ And gold loves that kind of setup 😍
⸻
🟫 2. U.S. Crude Oil Inventory Report
Report Previous Forecast Actual
Crude Oil Inventories +7.07M –1.80M –3.85M
🟢 Result: Very bullish for oil
→ Energy demand is higher than expected
→ Inflation could creep back up due to rising oil prices
→ That makes investors run to gold as a hedge against inflation 🔥
⸻
🧠 Technical & Market Outlook for XAU/USD:
📈 Gold pushed from $3,319 to $3,377
↩️ Now it’s in a pullback, testing Fibonacci levels:
• 38% retracement near $3,350
• 61% retracement near $3,339
📉 But… these pullbacks are happening with positive delta and absorption → which signals smart buying from below 👀
✅ Additional signs:
• VWAP is stable
• Volume is holding around the POC
• And macro data is clearly supporting upside momentum
⸻
🎯 Trading Plan:
• ✅ Entry Zones: $3,350 or $3,339
• 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3,319 (recent low)
• 🎯 TP1: $3,377
• 🎯 TP2: $3,392 – $3,400
• ⚠️ Watch for a breakout above $3,377 with strong volume — that would confirm the real move.
⸻
🔄 Summary:
💥 Two major news events today are supporting gold:
1. Weak PPI = possible pause in rate hikes
2. Rising oil = renewed inflation risk
So gold is getting support from both angles.
But stay cautious — any surprise statement from the Fed or a sudden USD rally could change the game
US CPIs came out. Gold is at an interesting spot.TVC:GOLD is currently struggling with one of its key resistance barriers, at around 3365. We need a clear break above that area in order to aim for higher areas. However, we are not getting bearish yet. Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Excellent re-Buy opportunities as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have Bought Gold throughout Friday's session within #3,330's however closed earlier below #3,348.80 (missed #3,352.80 benchmark break-out) however my Profits were already great so I don't mind. Keep Buying every dip on Gold (aggressive Scalps)."
I have re-Bought Gold firstly on #3,357.80, then #3,340's many times until actual #3,360.80 reversal towards #3,342.80 where I bought Gold again twice towards #3,352.80 benchmark. My key reversal points are nicely respected by Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold is showcasing underlying Bullish trend as #3,377.80 Resistance stands between current Price-action and #3,400.80 benchmark. However if #3,337.80 gets invalidated before any of the above happens, I have a Selling breakout as DX turned Neutral again on the Short-term (and remains Bearish on the Medium-term). This uptrend is directly related to the decline on DX but even then the drop on Gold will not be so strong. It seems that Investors who Sold Gold during the current #1-Week drop, closed their positions much earlier. Theoretically it makes Investors take capital off of riskier assets and place it in safe-haven assets such as Gold. Gold is testing once again #3,357.80 new / old Resistance after series of Bullish Hourly 1 chart’s candles (Engulfing, Three Outside Up) reaching Medium-term Resistance zone on #4th straight red candlestick. The Daily chart’s Volumes are on the rise again as the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is looking to Price in a Higher High’s as last attempt was so far unsuccessful. Based on the Monthly chart where Bullish and Bearish Months take turns, I expect the whole July / August’s fractals to remain Bullish.
My position: My strategy remains the same, Buying every dip on Gold on my calculated key entry points which Gold respects and ultimately, anticipating #3,377.80 Resistance break-out to the upside.
XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation ExpectedGold (XAUUSD) appears to be forming a bearish reversal structure following multiple key rejections at the $3,375 resistance zone. After a strong bullish channel (highlighted in yellow) leading into the mid-July highs, the market showed signs of exhaustion.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Bearish Reversal Pattern: After testing the upper resistance zone near $3,375–$3,385, price action formed a rising wedge, followed by breakdowns into symmetrical triangle and descending wedge patterns — all pointing to a weakening bullish momentum.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is hovering around the cloud with Kijun-Sen resistance at $3,346, signaling consolidation and potential bearish continuation.
Double Top Zone: The highlighted red zone has been tested multiple times and acted as a strong supply area.
Support Zone: The green support zone near $3,310–$3,315 held multiple times in the past, but each bounce is weaker, suggesting a likely break below on the next test.
Projected Move: As price failed to break and sustain above the $3,355–$3,360 level, and broke below the ascending structure, a move toward $3,320 or lower is likely, especially if price breaks below $3,340 with strong volume.
🧠 Trading Insight:
Sellers are likely to take control below the current Ichimoku cloud, with a short bias valid as long as price remains below $3,360. Confirmation would come on a decisive break below $3,340.
Why do you always miss the most stable trading opportunities?The market is always moving forward in the game between long and short positions. Sometimes the market is strong and sometimes it is falling rapidly. We cannot control the market trend. The only thing we can do is to protect the principal and stay rational. When the market is unclear, it is better to decisively exit and wait and see than to blindly waste energy. Whether the market rises or falls is not the most important thing. What you really need to think about is how you will deal with it, how much profit you can get when you are right, and how much loss you can avoid when you are wrong. This is the fundamental of trading.Trading method: follow the trend, macro resonance, refuse to bet everything, and implement iron discipline. Welcome like-minded friends to exchange technology, methods and trading experience, write analysis honestly, and trade seriously. I just hope you can take fewer detours!
Review of this week's upward trend analysis: This week, we did very well in gold. From Monday to Friday, the daily analysis layout and entry position were very accurate, the trend was correct, and it was simple and easy to do. Gold showed an overall volatile upward trend, which was in line with my previous prediction: First, the decline of the US dollar supported the gold price. The weakening of the US dollar increased the purchasing power of non-US currency holders, pushed up the demand for gold, and precious metals strengthened across the board. Second, the rise in risk aversion was affected by uncertainties such as the US fiscal deficit, tariff policy, and the independence of the Federal Reserve. The market's risk aversion demand increased, and bullish sentiment continued to be released.
As for the gold trend next week, the gold price bottomed out and rebounded this week, with obvious characteristics of washing and consolidation. The trend structure further converged and waited for the direction to be chosen. The weekly line closed with a long lower shadow and a small negative line. The daily line alternated between positive and negative, running between the middle and upper rails of the Bollinger Bands, continuing the slow bull shock pattern. Next week, focus on the break of the 3377-3309 range. If it does not break, maintain the high-altitude and low-multiple ideas. If it breaks, follow the unilateral trend. The short-term pressure is concentrated in the 3360-3370 area. It rose to this position on Friday and then fell back, showing obvious pressure. The lower support focuses on the 3330 line. It has not broken through many downward explorations, which has key support significance and needs special attention. If 3330 is lost, the bears may take the initiative. If it holds on and does not break, the bulls still have the upward momentum. Breaking through 3375 will open up the trend of rising space. In terms of operation rhythm, the short-term support focuses on 3345-3335. The key pressure above pays attention to the vicinity of 3380. Under the premise of no news stimulation, the market will most likely maintain a shock range this month.
Gold Roadmap=>Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) currently appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) .
The Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) was broken with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , the upper line of this classic pattern having served as an important resistance line for us in previous ideas .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It is currently completing the next five impulse waves . Wave 5 of these waves could end in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and of course, given the momentum of gold approaching PRZ , we can also look for Short positions in PRZ .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,329
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTRIC day on the markets with our chart idea and levels playing out and being respected, as analysed.
After completing the swing range test and full swing into 3306, we stated yesterday that we will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3306 to open 3330. This was locked and loaded and completed the 3330 target today.
We will now continue to look for ema5 lock above 3330 for a continuation into the bullish targets above or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX