XAUUSD trade ideas
Retracement for cooldownBased on the spike leaving some long wick from 1 hour timeframe, there is a possibilities for it to retrace back for cooldown period before going up. My calculations lead to 3335 as a support level.
Sell - Take profit on 3335. Believe me, I am from the broken future. Just kidding.
best location for buy mid term goldthis my analysis combine price action SMC and Astrologi Financial...i see good moment for buy gold.
Learn the 3 TYPES of MARKET ANALYSIS in Gold Forex Trading
In the today's post, we will discuss 3 types of analysis of a financial market.
🛠1 - Technical Analysis
Technical analysis focuses on p rice action, key levels, technical indicators and technical tools for the assessment of a market sentiment.
Pure technician thoroughly believes that the price chart reflects all the news, all the actions of big and small players. With a proper application of technical strategies, technical analysts make predictions and identify trading opportunities.
In the example above, the trader applies price action patterns, candlestick analysis, key levels and 2 technical indicators to make a prediction that the market will drop to a key horizontal support from a solid horizontal resistance.
📰2 - Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysts assess the key factors and related data that drive the value of an asset.
These factors are diverse: it can be geopolitical events, macro and micro economic news, financial statements, etc.
Fundamental traders usually make trading decision and forecasts, relying on fundamental data alone and completely neglecting a chart analysis.
Price action on Gold on a daily time frame could be easily predicted, applying a fundamental analysis.
A bearish trend was driven by FED Interest Rates tightening program,
while a strong bullish rally initiated after escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
📊🔬 3 - Combination of Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Such traders combine the principles of both Technical and Fundamental approaches.
When they are looking for trading opportunities, they analyze the price chart and make predictions accordingly.
Then, they analyze the current related fundamentals and compare the technical and fundamental biases.
If the outlooks match , one opens a trading position.
In the example above, Gold reached a solid horizontal daily support.
Testing the underlined structure, the price formed a falling wedge pattern and a double bottom, breaking both a horizontal neckline and a resistance of the wedge.
These were 2 significant bullish technical confirmation.
At the same time, the escalation of Israeli-Palestinian conflict left a very bullish fundamental confirmation.
It is an endless debate which method is better.
Each has its own pros and cons.
I strongly believe that one can make money mastering any of those.
Just choose the method that you prefer, study it, practice and one day you will make it.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD Daily Setup On the daily timeframe, a change in the internal structure has occurred, so the price moves upwards to the range of 3378 to 3409, then moves downwards to the indicated support area.
3340-3300: Lock in the buy high and sell low in this area!Under the influence of unemployment benefits and zero monthly sales data, gold fell sharply in the short term, but it did not effectively fall below 3310 during multiple tests, effectively curbing the further downward space of the shorts. Multiple structural supports are also concentrated in the 3310-3300 area, so as long as gold does not fall below this area, gold bulls still have the potential to rebound.
However, for the current gold market, it may be difficult to see a unilateral trend in the short term. After experiencing discontinuous surges and plunges, gold may focus on consolidation and repair, and the consolidation range may be limited to the 3340-3300 area.
So for short-term trading, first of all, I advocate going long on gold in the 3320-3310 area, and expect gold to rebound and reach the 3330-3340 area;
If gold reaches the 3335-3345 area as expected, we can start to consider shorting gold, and expect gold to step back to the 3320-3310 area during the shock and rectification process.
Gold Trade Setup Eyes on 15M Demand ZonePrice is coming close to 3338, where we have a 15-Minute Order Block (OB) 📍. This is a fresh demand zone and can give a bullish reaction when price taps into it 🟢.
📌 Plan:
We will wait for price to tap the OB ✅
If we see bullish signs like rejection wicks or bullish candles, we will enter a buy 📈
Our target will be near 3366, just below the bearish FVG 🎯
gold daily bias today (17th july 2025)Daily remains bullish within a bullish BOS. 4H structure confirms the same — only reacting if price invalidates the bullish setup.
For BUYS (Scenario 1 – Deep Retracement Buy):
1️⃣ Price retests the 3320.651 – 3311.381 zone.
2️⃣ Form a 1/3M bullish CHOCH with a body candle close.
3️⃣ Retest the level and BUY toward 3349.077.
For BUYS (Scenario 2 – Intraday Structure Flip):
1️⃣ Price forms a 15M bullish CHOCH with body candle close.
2️⃣ Retest the 15M BOS using a 2/3M bullish CHOCH.
3️⃣ Confirm the retest and BUY toward 3349.077.
For SELLS (Scenario 3 – BOS Break + Shift):
1️⃣ Break below 3320.651 – 3311.381 with a strong 1H momentum candle.
2️⃣ Pull back to the broken zone.
3️⃣ Form a 1/3M bearish CHOCH after retest and SELL toward 3298.508.
Continue to go long after bottoming outYesterday, the Trump and Powell incident caused gold to rise strongly to around 3377. The rise in gold was only short-lived. In the end, gold closed positively on the daily line, but it closed with a super long upper shadow line. In the end, the gold price quickly rose and broke through the 3377 mark, but fell back under pressure and closed in a volatile market. The daily K-line closed high and fell back in a volatile market. Although the overall gold price repeatedly fluctuated and washed out under the stimulation of news, it ultimately failed to break through the recent large box oscillation range. Today we continue to pay attention to the support line of 3318-25 below, and we will continue to go long if it falls back!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3318-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
XAUUSD Trade Setup: Buying Opportunity at 3,322 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a critical support zone between 3,322 and 3,323 USD. This area represents a confluence of the previous swing low and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is historically known to trigger technical bullish reactions. If a confirming signal appears on the H1 chart, this may offer a favorable short-term buy opportunity.
Trade setup details:
Entry (Buy limit): 3,323 – 3,322 USD
Stop loss: below 3,318 USD
Take profit: 3,331 – 3,340 USD
Risk-to-reward ratio: approximately 2:1
Technical rationale for the trade:
The 3,322 level has acted as a strong support in recent price structure
Aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often seen as the last line of defense in bullish setups
RSI on the lower time frame is nearing oversold, signaling potential bullish momentum
Risk management notes:
If price closes below 3,318 USD, the long idea becomes invalid
Best entries should be supported by price action signals such as pin bar, bullish engulfing, or other reversal candles near support
Conclusion: A buy position in the 3,322 – 3,323 USD zone presents a reasonable strategy as long as the support holds. If bullish reaction occurs, price may revisit the 3,340 resistance area in the short term.
Save this strategy if you find it useful, and stay tuned for more real-time trade ideas and insights.
Sell Idea
Overall Market Analysis
● Market Structure: The chart clearly shows that Gold is in a strong consolidation or
ranging phase. It is not trending up or down but is instead oscillating between a
well-defined resistance "ceiling" and a support "floor".
● Conclusion for Higher Probability: In a ranging market, the highest probability trades
are to sell near resistance or buy near support. Since the current price (~$3339) is in
the upper half of the range and closer to major resistance, a bearish (Sell) plan
currently presents a more immediate and statistically favorable setup than a buy
plan. A buy plan would require waiting for the price to drop significantly.
Hypothetical Trade Plan: Bearish Range Trade
This plan is based on the expectation that the established resistance level will hold and the price
will rotate back down within its range.
1. Thesis / Rationale: The price has repeatedly failed to break and hold above the $3350 -
$3375 zone for over a month. This indicates a strong presence of sellers at this level. The
strategy is to align with these sellers, anticipating another rotation down towards the support
level.
Monitoring a Flat correction extension breakoutIts same with Mar 2020 situation we will see a correction extension not usual correction
Anticipate 3600-3700$ this year with correction to 3317-3392 before rally to 4100$ next year
I also draw Triangle as weekly TF bullish flag
XAUUSD Intraday / Swing Trade PlanTop-Down Analysis
D1: Price is currently in a ranging phase, moving sideways within a defined range.
H1 / H4: Lower timeframes are showing an uptrend.
However, price has already reached the 423% Fibonacci Extension on H1, which may trigger a significant pullback.
If a correction occurs on H1, but H4 structure remains bullish, we can look for continuation setups targeting the Fibonacci extension levels on H4.
Trading Strategy (Brief Overview)
Since price is ranging on the higher timeframe, we can trade "ping-pong style" — bouncing between key levels.
Trend Continuation
Look to follow the trend when price reacts at Key Level 1 (likely a demand zone or Fibonacci confluence).
Potential Reversal
Watch for a loss of momentum on H1 when price approaches Upper Key Level 2 — this could signal a reversal opportunity.
Monday market forecast, pay attention to the 3339 retracement📰 News information：
1. The Trump administration puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
2. The continued impact of tariffs and the responses of various countries
📈 Technical Analysis：
This week's basic judgment and forecast on the gold market trend were consistent, but on Friday, the overall gold fluctuations were not large. The overall trend of the daily line fluctuated around 3345, and the 3345 line also became a short-term long-short watershed. Although prices are likely to rise more easily than fall in the short term, it should be noted that the three-month adjustment cycle is coming to an end while the fundamentals of the bull market have not changed. It is recommended that you focus on preventing risks from short position operations next week. At the same time, the overall strong shock pattern, the anti-pulling momentum has not reached the top suppression position, and the area around 3339 below is the previous intensive trading area, which constitutes a certain support in the short term. If the market fails to effectively break below next week, it will greatly boost the bullish momentum, and it is not ruled out that there will be a possibility of refreshing the high point near 3380 next week.
On the whole, the short-term focus next week is the 3345-3335 area below. If it falls back to this point, you can consider arranging long orders. The short-term target is 3355-3365, and the strong trend is expected to continue to touch 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points：
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3355-3365-3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
XAUUSD H4 BISI BUY LONGXAUUSD H4 BISI BUY LONG
- Market bearish to Bullesh market is in h4 BISI .
- In LTF after valid MSS with vslid OBI / LTF BISI then entry with Tight SL and Long TP
---- KGB PRIYABRTA BEHERA -----
ICT Trader & Advance Mapping SMC Trader
Gold 30-Minute OB and Demand Zone SetupGold is now approaching a 30-Minute Order Block along with a strong demand zone 🟢. We are expecting some clean reactions from these areas.
📌 Plan:
Scenario 1:
👉 If price respects the M30 OB and Demand zone area at 3327 -3320, we can look for bullish signs like rejection wicks or bullish candles to enter buy positions 📈, targeting the upper zone M30 OB zone near 3347 🎯.
Scenario 2:
👉 If price tap the above 30 min OB near 3347 we take our sell or short side entries for a reaction from there entering short ✅.
Both scenarios are possible, so we will watch the price action closely 🧐 and only trade with confirmation!
Gold (XAUUSD) at Decision Point – Watch $3,320 Closely! Technical Analysis – 4H Chart
Gold is trading within a rising channel, but momentum is weakening. The current price action is testing the lower channel support around $3,320 — a critical level for the next directional move.
🟥 Bearish Scenario:
Break & close below $3,320 could confirm channel breakdown
Target: $3,219 support zone
Bearish engulfing seen on higher timeframe adds pressure
🟩 Bullish Scenario:
If $3,320 holds as support and price bounces back:
Possible move toward upper channel resistance around $3,401
🌍 Fundamental Outlook
Recent CPI data was soft, but no strong bullish push yet
Focus on upcoming U.S. economic releases (employment, PMI, retail sales)
Strong data = Hawkish Fed = Bearish for Gold
Weak data = Dovish Fed = Bullish for Gold
GOLD(XAUUSD) 17.07.25A slight push beneath (3232), to be followed by a rally, breaking marked high(above 3499).
Less is More.
Best Regards,
Gideon Stephen (GS)
#xauusd #forex
XAUUSD WAS GOES TO DOWN TREND "I follow structure, not emotions.
The trend is bearish — I sell strength, not weakness.
My entry is smart, at a lower high or CHoCH retest.
My SL is tight — just above the invalidation point.
My TP is clear — near the next demand or previous low.
I don’t hope. I manage risk and trust my edge."
---
📉 Suggested Setup Based on This Chart:
(Use this only as example — always confirm with your own strategy.)
Entry: Near the most recent CHoCH retest or rejection wick at LH (around 3,360–3,365 zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): Just above the previous LH or supply zone (around 3,375)
Take-Profit (TP): Near next support / previous LL zone (around 3,305 or even 3,248)
Risk-Reward (RR): Target at least 2:5
Gold about to hit and form a new all time highfor several weeks gold has been heading up, in a daily timeframe we see Gold heading up. after a retest of the 3321 level we we expect an aggressive to the upside.
we can hold this position for several days and weeks. patience is very crucial here.
Gold----Buy near 3374, target 3399-3420Gold market analysis:
Yesterday, Monday, gold rose strongly, reaching a high of around 3402. This range is still relatively rare at the beginning of the week. Let's not worry about whether it is caused by fundamentals. Judging from the market's morphological indicators, we can be very sure that it is a buying trend. Yesterday's buying has broken the 3377 position. The breaking position of this position has determined the new buying position. In addition, the daily moving average has also begun to diverge. The morphological support is around 3370 and 3374. Today, relying on this position, the moving average is bullish. Yesterday, it rose too much. I estimate that there will be a need for repair today. The retracement during the repair is our opportunity to get on the train again. On the weekly line, 3400 is a hurdle. The previous multiple stops were only short-lived, so we need to be cautious when buying above 3400.
There is a signal of closing negative in 4H. The Asian session needs to be adjusted and repaired. It is better to buy at a low price. 3402 is a small pressure. We cannot estimate where it will be repaired. We can determine the support below and buy near the support. There can also be short-term selling opportunities above 3400 in the Asian session. It is only in the Asian session, and the buy order is the main target.
Fundamental analysis:
There is no major news in the recent fundamentals. The situation in the Middle East is still relatively stable. There is no new rest in tariffs, and the impact on the market is limited.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3374, target 3399-3420
July 22, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Bullish momentum is clearly in play — strategy remains to buy on pullbacks as long as key support levels hold.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3435 – Resistance
• 3422 – Resistance
• 3410 – Resistance
• 3400 – Psychological level
• 3375 – Support
• 3364 – Support
• 3358 – Support
• 3345 – Strong support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3391 → target 3386, then 3380, 3375, 3370
• BUY if price holds above 3400 → target 3405, then 3410, 3422, 3435
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
two forecast scenarios will happen next week start at July 21 25# 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) - Market Outlook
**Date:** July 19, 2025
**Instrument:** CFD on Spot Gold
**Symbol:** XAU/USD
**Timeframe:** Intraday & Swing Focus
---
## 📊 Technical Analysis
### 🔹 Current Price Action:
- **Price:** ~$3,351 per ounce
- **Bias:** Bullish continuation with potential retracement
### 🔸 Key Levels:
| Level | Type | Description |
|--------------|--------------|-----------------------------------|
| 3,435 - 3,442| Resistance | Multi-day top + Fib extension |
| 3,400 | Pivot | Round number + psychological zone |
| 3,384 | Support 1 | Last pullback low |
| 3,368 | Support 2 | MA confluence zone |
| 3,345 - 3,350| Strong base | Weekly structural support |
### 📈 Structure & Pattern:
- Series of **higher highs and higher lows**
- Sharp **rally during NY session**, consolidation during Asia/London
- Strong **liquidity sweep** under 3,384 followed by impulsive recovery
### 📍 Bias:
> **Bullish** above 3,384
> Potential short-term pullback toward 3,384 – 3,368 = buying opportunity
> Watch for breakout and hold above 3,435 for extension toward 3,470+
---
## 🌐 Fundamental Analysis
### 📰 Macro Drivers:
| Factor | Impact on Gold | Notes |
|-----------------------------|----------------|------------------------------------------------|
| **US Dollar (DXY)** | ⬇️ Bullish for Gold | DXY rejected 104.50; retracing |
| **Bond Yields** | ⬇️ Bullish | US 10Y below 4.15%; easing pressure |
| **Fed Policy (FOMC)** | 📉 Bullish | Market pricing 65% chance of rate cut by Sep |
| **Geopolitical Risks** | 🆙 Bullish | Middle East tension + Russian escalation |
| **Gold ETF Demand** | ⬆️ Bullish | Net inflows continue (strong hedge appetite) |
### 🛑 Risks to Bullish View:
- Sudden USD strength recovery
- Fed speakers turning hawkish unexpectedly
- Aggressive short-term profit-taking near ATH
---
## 🎯 Summary Outlook:
> Gold remains in a **strong uptrend** with healthy corrections.
> As long as price holds above **3,384**, dips are buyable.
> Targeting 3,442+ short term and 3,470-3,500 for swing traders.
---
## 🧭 Strategy Suggestion:
- ✅ **Buy on dip** toward 3,384–3,368 zone
- ❌ Avoid chasing breakouts unless confirmed on NY open
- 🔁 Watch for liquidity traps and fakeouts under 3,384
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⏱️ *Updated by: Persiaux King 👑*
*Trade the plan, trust the flow 💛*
