XAUUSD trade ideas
Market Trends from 2020 to 2025How Bitcoin, NASDAQ, Gold, and Silver Really Performed Since 2020
It’s been a wild few years in the markets. From early 2020 to mid-2025, investors have had to navigate uncertainty, changing interest rates, tech booms, and the rise of digital assets. Looking back, it’s clear that some assets took off while others just quietly held their ground.
So, what happened if you had invested in Bitcoin, the NASDAQ, gold, or silver five years ago?
Bitcoin (BTC): +1,297.87%
No surprise here. Bitcoin absolutely stole the show. Despite all the ups and downs (and there were plenty), BTC ended up with nearly 1,300% gains. It had a huge surge in late 2020 and 2021, crashed hard, and then climbed even higher starting in 2023.
This kind of return doesn’t come without risk. Bitcoin was by far the most volatile of the group. But for those who held on, the reward was massive. It also marked a big shift in how people think about money and investing.
"Crypto is no longer just a fringe idea."
NASDAQ: +175.26%
Tech stocks had a strong run, too. The NASDAQ gained around 175%, driven by innovation, digital expansion, and eventually, the AI boom. While there were some bumps along the way (especially when interest rates went up), the general trend was up and to the right.
Unlike Bitcoin, the NASDAQ was more predictable, less explosive.
Gold: +127.39%
Gold did what gold usually does. It held its value and slowly moved higher. Over five years, it returned about 127%, which is pretty solid for a “safe haven” asset. It didn’t grab headlines like crypto or tech stocks, but it stayed reliable through the chaos.
Silver: +124.50%
Silver had a similar story to gold, but with a bit more fluctuation. It benefited from both investor demand and industrial use, and it ended up with just over 124% in gains. Not bad for a metal that often gets overshadowed by its shinier cousin ;).
What It All Means
If you were in Bitcoin, you saw huge gains, but also had to stomach major volatility. Tech investors did well too, especially those who stayed in through the dips. Meanwhile, gold and silver offered steadier, more defensive returns.
One big takeaway: the investment landscape is changing. Traditional assets still matter, but new ones like crypto are reshaping what portfolios can look like.
In the end, it’s about balancing risk and reward!
and figuring out what kind of investor you are.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Nice! Our idea from yesterday worked well giving the short trade into the level we wanted, to then break below the bias level and give us our 2 Gold Excalibur targets and 1 of our red box targets shared with the wider community. We suggested our traders watch the level of 3310 for a potential RIP, and that's exactly what we got upside.
Now, we have support at the 3330-27 level and resistance above at 3340-3. We have a red box above as well so we'll be waiting to see if the close is significant enough for us to target higher tomorrow! For now, keep an eye on the retracement into the 3335-2 level initially.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3341, 3355, 3362, 3370 and 3376 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3304, 3297 and 3294 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was a difficult move to capture! I would not blame anyone for getting frustrated and FOMO'ing. Thankfully, we stuck to our guns, price was manipulated but our targets are completed as is the move we highlighted on Sundays KOG Report. I even say here and thought what on earth are they doing, but, we gave a level of 3318 as the line in the sand, we bounced before that and BOOM, all Excalibur targets completed in one go.
Now, we have support below at the 3340-45 level which is where they may settle for the session, above 3340 we're still likely to see a retest of the level, however, we said there is a curveball this week, and look at what is happening. Can't remember the last time I saw price action this bad!
Price: 3337
RED BOXES:
Break above 3350 for 3355✅, 3362✅, 3370✅ and 3376✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3330✅, 3322✅, 3320✅ and 3314 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe
KOG
Waiting for the Break: 3375 or 3320 Will Decide the Next 1k Pips📉 Quick recap:
As you know, I've been bullish on Gold. However, as explained in yesterday’s analysis, I started to approach this view with more caution. Unfortunately, I closed my long position at break even… before the rally to the 3375 resistance. That’s trading.
📌 What now?
Despite missing that move, the market is beginning to offer more clarity. There are now two key levels that will likely define the next major swing:
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🔹 1. Resistance at 3375 – Top of the Range / Triangle Breakout Zone
• This level marks the upper boundary of the recent range
• It’s also the resistance of a developing ascending triangle
• A clean breakout above 3375 would confirm the pattern and could trigger a strong upside acceleration
• Target: 3450 zone, with potential for more if momentum kicks in (approx. 1000 pips higher)
➡️ This is the obvious bullish scenario – in line with the broader trend and classical technical setup.
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🔻 2. Support at 3320 – The Less Obvious, but Classic Gold
• 3320 is now a confluence support area
• Technically, a break below here is less probable – but Gold has a habit of doing the unexpected
• If 3320 breaks, bears could look for a first leg to 3280 (approx. 400 pips), and very probably 3250 (around 700 pips drop)
➡️ This bearish scenario is not the base case, but it must not be ignored. Sometimes the trap is in the obvious.
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🧭 Trading Plan:
For now, I’m out of the market, patiently waiting for confirmation. I’ll trade the breakout – whichever side gives the signal first.
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📌 Conclusion:
Gold is coiling for a larger move. The levels are clear: 3375 and 3320 are the doors. One of them will open. Until then, we wait and prepare. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenarioGOLD: Continues to respect our bearish scenario
Yesterday we had a bad joke from Trump and the price tested again a very strong resistance area located near 3378.
As you can see from the chart, the sell-off happened quickly and was just a sell-off in a deep pullback.
Today, the price was struggling to find a clear direction, but after Trump said he had no plans to fire the Federal Reserve's Powell, the market calmed down easily.
The price fell from another strong support area earlier today after the US printed strong Retail Sales data for June of 0.6% versus an estimate of 0.1%.
The chances of further declines, as I explained earlier, are increasing further and it could even reach 3260, it seems.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Lingrid | GOLD Potential A-B-C Movement in ProgressOANDA:XAUUSD bounced strongly from the ascending trendline and reclaimed key structure near 3,275, signaling strength after rejecting the prior downward channel. Price has broken above the descending trendline and is now testing the 3,329 resistance zone with bullish momentum. If buyers maintain control above this breakout area, a push toward the 3,400 level becomes increasingly likely. The structure supports a continuation of the bullish leg unless price drops back under 3,275.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: breakout and retest hold above 3,329.3
Buy zone: 3,300–3,329 (breakout + structure support)
Target: 3,400 first, extended toward 3,500
Invalidation: sharp drop below 3,275 negates bullish setup
💡 Risks
False breakout above 3,329 could invite short-term pullback
Rejection at 3,400 may lead to consolidation below resistance
Macro shocks (Fed, CPI) could reverse sentiment abruptly
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Retest - 3347.5
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Bullish Pattern
Gold perfectly respected a rising trend line on a daily and
bounce from that, as I predicted earlier.
I see a strong bullish pattern on that now.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern and closed
on Friday, testing its neckline.
The next bullish confirmation that you should look for is its breakout.
Daily candle close above 3367 level will provide a breakout validation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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XAU/USD technical analysis setup Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 6-hour timeframe, focusing on a key resistance zone that could trigger either a bullish breakout or a bearish reversal.
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Analysis Summary
Current Price: $3,357.95
Trend Context: Price is testing a strong resistance zone with a possible breakout or rejection in play.
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Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
1. Resistance Zone: $3,357–$3,372
Multiple previous rejections.
A confirmed close above $3,372.77 signals bullish strength.
2. Upside Targets:
Target 1: $3,393.87
Target 2: $3,452.08
3. Indicators:
RSI at 63.74, approaching overbought but still with room to rally.
EMA 200 is trending upward, supporting bullish bias.
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Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
1. If price fails to close above $3,372.77, a rejection from resistance is likely.
2. Downside Targets:
Reversal projected toward the key support zone at $3,246.97
EMA 200 at $3,300.97 may provide temporary support before breakdown.
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Trade Ideas
Direction Entry Level Stop-Loss Target 1 Target 2
Bullish Close above $3,372 Below $3,346 $3,393.87 $3,452.08
Bearish Rejection from $3,357–$3,372 Above $3,380 $3,300 → $3,246.97
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
This is a critical decision point for Gold. A breakout above resistance can propel price to $3,450, while rejection could drive price back to $3,246. The reaction at the current zone will dictate the next major swing.
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Gold Roadmap=>Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) currently appears to have broken through the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) .
The Resistance zone($3,350-$3,325) was broken with the help of the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern , the upper line of this classic pattern having served as an important resistance line for us in previous ideas .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) within the Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It is currently completing the next five impulse waves . Wave 5 of these waves could end in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Gold to rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and of course, given the momentum of gold approaching PRZ , we can also look for Short positions in PRZ .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,329
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We started the week with our Bullish target 3364 HIT, followed with no ema5 lock confirming the rejection. Bearish target remains open and may complete with the rejection.
We will continue with our plans to buy dips, utilising the support levels from the bearish targets and/or Goldturns. Also keeping in mind our 1h chart, although gave a nice push up , the full Bullish gap remains open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3364 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3364 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3499 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3561
BEARISH TARGETS
3297
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3297 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3242
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week!!!
After completing our Bearish targets throughout the week, we got the swing perfectly, like we analysed and was waiting for our Bullish target to be complete.
- We got the Bullish target at 3358 HIT perfectly completing this range!!
BULLISH TARGET
3358 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the trend line📊 Technical Analysis
● The break of the July descending cap at 3 355 has held as support; price is stair-stepping along a steep intraday channel whose lower rail coincides with the 3 350 pivot.
● Momentum is pressing the 3 368–3 393 supply; clearing that band opens the March swing objective at 3 430, while pullbacks into 3 350-3 355 are buffered by the former trend-line.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A second straight downside surprise in US PPI cooled 2-yr yields and the DXY, restoring carry appeal for non-yielding gold.
● World Gold Council notes June central-bank net purchases rose 6 % m/m, signalling persistent official demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 350-3 360; hold above 3 355 targets 3 393 → 3 430. Bias void on an H1 close below 3 325.
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Madness on the markets. I can honestly say, if you're less experienced in these markets, and like some of you trading with large lots and large or no SL's, you're unfortunately going to get yourself into a little bit of a pickle.
Did it go to plan today? Yes, and no! We followed the path which worked, but then we wanted support to hold at the bias level 3340 to then push us back upside. We got a small bounce for 100pips on the red box indicators but ideally we wanted this to completed the move up before coming back down. We're now at crucial support 3320 with resistance at the 3335-40 region, which, if we hold here without breaching should be a decent retracement on this move.
Other than that, I can say our plan for today wasn't as we hoped, we took an SL but then got a 100pip bounce. It is what it is
RED BOXES:
Break above 3365 for 3372, 3375, 3388 and 3406 in extension of the move
Break below 3350 for 3335✅, 3330✅, 3326✅ and 3307 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD correction from the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Repeated rejections at the channel mid-band (3 346) and the higher swing-highs marked by red arrows form a descending wedge inside the bigger rising channel.
● Price has slipped back under the intraday up-trend and is tracking a fresh 30 m falling channel; a close below 3 328 completes the bear setup and points to the lower channel rail / former bounce base at 3 296.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US retail-sales surprise (+0.5 % m/m) lifted 2-yr Treasury yields while Fed’s Daly warned “inflation progress isn’t enough”, reviving dollar demand and capping bullion.
✨ Summary
Short 3 340-3 345; sustained trade beneath 3 328 opens 3 296 → 3 255. Thesis void on a 30 m close above 3 355.
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In trading, the long way is the shortcut⚠️ The Shortcut Is an Illusion — And It Will Cost You
In trading, everyone wants to arrive without traveling.
They want the profits, the freedom, and the Instagram lifestyle — even if it’s fake.
What they don’t want is the process that actually gets you there.
So they chase shortcuts:
• Copy signals without understanding the reason behind them
• Over-leverage on “the perfect setup”
• Buy indicators they don’t know how to use
• Skip journaling and backtesting
• Trade real money without trading psychology
And then they wonder…
Why is my account bleeding?
Why does this feel like a cycle I can't break?
Because:
Every shortcut in trading is just a fast track to disaster.
You will lose. You will restart. And it will take even longer than if you just did it right the first time.
🤡 The TikTok Fantasy: “1-Minute Strategy That Will Make You Millions in 2025”
This is the new wave:
A 60-second video showing you a magical indicator combo.
No context. No testing. No risk management.
Just fake PnL screenshots and promises of millionaire status before next summer.
“This 1-minute scalping strategy made me $12,000 today!”
And people fall for it… because it’s easier to believe in shortcuts than to accept that real trading is boring, repetitive, and hard-earned.
If it fits in a TikTok video, it’s not a strategy. It’s clickbait.
________________________________________
❓ Looking for a System Without Knowing the Basics
Here’s the paradox:
Most people are desperate to find a “profitable strategy” — but they haven’t even mastered the basic math of trading.
• They don’t know how pip value is calculated
• They don’t understand how leverage works
• They confuse margin with risk
• They size positions emotionally, not based on their account
• They can’t define what 1% risk per trade actually means in dollars
But they’re out here, loading indicators, watching YouTube “hacks,” and flipping accounts with 1:500 leverage.
Imagine trying to perform surgery before learning anatomy.
That’s what trying to trade a strategy without knowing pip cost looks like.
________________________________________
🛠️ The Long Way Is the Fastest Way
You want the real shortcut?
Here it is:
• Learn price structure deeply
• Backtest like a scientist
• Journal like a professional
• Risk small while you're learning
• Stay on demo until your edge is proven
• Master basic math: leverage, margin, pip value, position sizing
This is the long way.
But it’s the only way that doesn’t end in regret.
________________________________________
⏳ Most Traders Waste 2–5 Years Looking for a Shortcut
And in the end?
They crawl back to the long path.
Broke, humbled, and wishing they had just started there from the beginning.
The shortcut is a scam.
The long way is the only path that leads to consistency.
You either take it now… or take it later — after your account pays the price.
________________________________________
✅ Final Thought
Don’t ask how fast you can get profitable.
Ask how solid you can build your foundation.
Because in trading:
❌ The shortcut costs you everything
✅ The long way gives you everything
And the longer you avoid it, the longer it takes.
XAUUSD 1H | Bullish BOS & OB Retest | Targeting 3390+🚀 Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Timeframe is showing a clean Bullish Market Structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS ↑) confirming upside momentum.
🔹 Price retraced back into a strong Demand Zone (OB) and has started pushing upward again, indicating strong buyer interest.
🔹 Clear Order Block Retest after BOS confirms Smart Money Entry.
🔹 Target is marked around 3390+, based on previous liquidity and imbalance zones.
📈 Expecting continuation of bullish trend until the marked Target Point is reached.
💡 This setup follows pure SMC principles: BOS → OB Retest → Expansion.
🟢 Buy Bias Active | 📊 High Probability Trade Setup
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #BreakOfStructure #OrderBlock #LiquidityGrab #TrustTechnicallyAnalysis
Gold returns to Sideway range waiting for new momentumOANDA:XAUUSD A sweep of liquidity back to the 3377 zone and then back into the triangle trading range. Currently, the market will wait for new momentum for the next trend. If the 3322 zone is still holding, the uptrend to 3400 is still there. This is an important price zone in today's trading day.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Trigger: rejection 3323 with bullrish confirmation
Target: 3373
SELL Trigger: Break and trading Bellow support 3321
Target: 3285
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the MarketThis is a continuation of sorts of my educational article that received an "Editor's Pick" from TradingView and a large number of positive reactions from this amazing trading community. However, unlike that post, this is a trade idea that outlines clear entry conditions for when the price reaches a relevant manipulation zone and shows a reversal reaction. If you don't want to get into the details and trace the entire chain of events through which large capital brought the price to its current levels, feel free to skip the intro and go straight to the 4H chart with the long setup conditions.
To better understand the logic of "smart money," let's revisit the Gold daily timeframe from my educational article:
We will approach this analysis like detectives, following the facts and footprints in the style of Sherlock Holmes and Hercule Poirot.
So, let's begin our investigation. On the daily structure, we see a clear order flow confirming the intention of large capital to lead the price in continuation of the uptrend. After the latest impulse that began on February 28th and ended on April 3rd, the price corrected and mitigated the DEMAND1 manipulation zone. The "Whale" refueled with liquidity, eliminated some competitors, closed its losing short positions used for the manipulation, and gained energy for the next impulse that set a new ATH. The correction that mitigated the DEMAND1 zone was nothing other than the next manipulation, also in the form of a DEMAND zone, within which there is a still-valid daily order block. How can we assert that DEMAND 2 is a manipulation and not just a correction?
Firstly, the sharp nature of the move swept liquidity from the March 21st low. Secondly, the sharp upward impulse accompanied by a series of FVGs showed the Whale's true intention. And thirdly, the reversal from this DEMAND 2 zone, combined with the 61.8% Fib retracement level, resulted in the formation of the next manipulation in the form of the OB 1 order block. Further, we see the continuation of the order flow on this daily structure; the price reacts to OB1, forming another order block, OB2 . The impulse from OB2 sweeps liquidity from the May 6th high. Many might have expected a continuation of the impulse and a new ATH instead of a sweep of this high, but as often happens when too many participants pile into one direction, the price sharply reverses and liquidates their positions. This intense decline after sweeping the high looked something like a local trend change from bullish to bearish, but the sharp recovery after sweeping the liquidity from the June 9th low and forming a new order block, OB 3 , finally revealed what was really happening: it turned out to be a range . It's impossible to identify a range until it is fully formed. A range is another type of manipulation where internal and external liquidity is swept from both sides. In our case, there was first a deviation above (Deviation 1 on the chart), then a deviation below (Deviation 2), after which the price swept some internal liquidity and got stuck exactly in the middle of the range.
And finally, after all our investigations and deductions, we can say with absolute certainty, practically with 100% confidence divided by two, that ABSOLUTELY NO ONE KNOWS where the price will go from the current levels. Because the center of a range is a state of complete uncertainty. Moreover, I dare to suggest that even the Whales don't know where the price will go right now. They certainly have enormous funds to sharply move prices at the right moments to capture liquidity and conduct manipulations. At other times, they can nudge the market to create a trend and direct it like a chain reaction of falling dominoes. But the entire market is much larger, and if its sentiment changes drastically due to external factors, smart money won't waste its resources fighting it. Their goal is to make more money, nothing personal. Why else is the price stuck in the middle right now? Inflation data is coming out soon, which could push the price in an unpredictable direction. The Whales will wait to use this news-driven impulse to their advantage.
So, what have we concluded from this investigation? Was it all in vain since we can't even say with 51% probability where the price will go next? Of course not. We simply need to wait for the price to reach an area where the probability of it moving in a certain direction is significantly higher than 50% — that's all you need to be profitable in the long run. This probability will never be close to 100% because we don't know what's really happening in the depths of the market. Are the Whales accumulating positions in this range now, or are they selling off at high prices after the ATH? Unless you are one of the few direct participants in large capital, you can't know this. Moreover, you don't need to know it to make a consistent profit in the market. It is enough for us to predict the next move of smart money with high probability at certain moments, join their movement, and take our profit. It's like a weather forecast: the further from the current date, the lower the probability of it being accurate. It's the same with the market; a completely unpredictable combination of factors, news, and hidden internal processes can lead the price on a unique path, but always accompanied by smart money. It doesn't matter where the gold market goes next, whether to a new ATH or down to the next correction level. When the Whale reveals itself again by leaving a trail in the form of a manipulation, we can lie in wait near it and join its next move. Why is it generally a good idea to enter from manipulation zones? You are essentially stepping onto a field where the Whale has already cleared the liquidity, and it has returned to that place for other business — to close its losing positions. That is, a mitigated manipulation zone is a safer place to enter the market; there's a much lower chance the Whale will absorb your position. Right now, we have such a manipulation in the form of the OB 4 order block, and we can switch to the 4H timeframe to look at a potential entry zone in more detail.
4H CHART - SETUP CONDITIONS
So, we already know the general context: the price is inside a range. After the second deviation, it has already reacted to the order block formed after it, and we are waiting for the mitigation of the next one, OB 4 , which will serve as a pivot point for a potential setup. A reversal from this order block will confirm the order flow for the price to move at least to the upper boundary of the range. The presence of a manipulation zone alone is not enough to open a position; additional confirming conditions are always needed. As one such condition here, we can take the combination of mitigation with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels — 61.8% or 78.6%. Upon reaching each level, the price must hold (not be broken by the bodies of 1-4H candles) and show a reversal reaction. The final confirmation for entry will be an LTF confirm in the form of a break of structure (BOS) or the beginning of order flow on a lower timeframe. An important part of the context is that important US inflation news is coming out soon, and positions should not be opened right before it or for some time after (at least an hour).
Invalidation of the long scenario would be a break below the 78.6% level and OB 4.
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GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bullish move)(18-07-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (18-07-2025)
Current price- 3350
"if Price stays above 3330, then next target is 3360, 3378 and 3407 and below that 3310 and 3280 ".
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Gold Roadmap: Next Stop $3,325 After Ascending Channel Break?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) in the previous idea , and I took the position at $3,351 = Risk-free.
Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($3,366-$3,394) and has managed to break the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , with the break of the lower line of the ascending channel, it seems that gold has completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Gold to trend downward in the coming hours and succeed in breaking the Support zone($3,350-$3,325) and attacking the Support line again , and probably succeeding in breaking this line this time.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,396
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.