Gold is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3,260 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3,260 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD on retest (swing ready)Gold is currently holding Rangebound 3345-3375.Also market has potential of buying towards 3400 then Drop again.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I'm looking for Buying at 3340-3345 support area ,if we found 3340-3345 as correction and H4-H1 remains above then keep buy set targets at 3365 then 3375.
Additional TIP:
Below 3330 I will Activate my resell and hold till 3315 then 3305.
All the entries should be taken if all the rules are applied
#XAUUSD
Gold Faces Strong Rejection Below $3,365 – Bearish Wave Ahead?Gold is currently trading around $3,359, showing signs of exhaustion after climbing from the $3,248 low. The chart illustrates a textbook scenario of channel rejection after testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge and failing to break above the $3,365–$3,392 resistance zone. Price is now hovering just below the diagonal black trendline, indicating a potential lower high formation and setting up for another bearish wave.
📌 Key Technical Highlights
Resistance Zone: $3,365–$3,392
This area marks the confluence of the black long-term trendline, the top of the descending purple channel, and the previous high at $3,392.
Price attempted a "Possible Retest" as annotated on the chart and is now starting to pull back—showing signs of bearish rejection.
Bearish Scenario (Blue Arrows):
Multiple downward arrows show likely bearish paths if the current resistance holds.
Key short-term targets:
$3,337, $3,320, $3,303, Strong support at $3,293–$3,248
Further downside may test extension levels toward $3,220–$3,200 by early August if momentum builds.
⚠️ Bearish Confirmation Criteria
Failure to close above $3,365 (black trendline)
Breakdown below $3,337 followed by $3,320
Strong selling pressure supported by fundamentals (e.g. USD strength, Fed hawkish stance)
✅ Invalidation / Bullish Outlook
A decisive breakout and close above $3,392.73 would invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, targets would shift toward:
$3,412, $3,434, $3,490 (long-term trendline intersection)
However, today's U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index) release adds a layer of volatility and potential trend disruption, making this a high-risk trading day.
📊 CPI News Impact – What to Watch
High CPI (Stronger than forecast):
- Increases expectations of further Fed tightening → strengthens USD → bearish for gold
- Likely scenario: sharp drop toward $3,337 → $3,320 → $3,293
Low CPI (Weaker than forecast):
- Signals disinflation → weakens USD → bullish for gold
- Possible breakout above $3,365 → retest of $3,392 → if broken, target $3,412 and $3,434
Neutral or as expected CPI:
- Likely leads to whipsaw — fakeout on both sides
- Caution advised — wait for candle close confirmations post-news
Note
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
We wanted that lower level 3285 to hold which it did and give the move upside following the red box target levels which have worked well for today. As you can see, we're at red box here so there is a chance we may see a retracement in to the level shown below. It's that 3306-4 level that is the flip now and will need to break to go lower.
Support 3304 with key level resistance 3320. Below 3320, we're still bearish with another attempt on the 3300 level for the break.
From Camelot this morning:
Price: 3285
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3304✅, 3306✅, 3310✅, 3320 and 3324 in extension of the move
Break below 3279 for 3254, 3246 and 3240 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold Price Analysis July 15Continued uptrend after touching the 3345 buy zone
As analyzed at the beginning of the week, gold price has touched the buy zone around 3345 and continues to maintain the bullish wave structure, heading towards the 3400 resistance zone.
Currently, if gold breaks the 3373 mark, the uptrend is likely to be further strengthened. At that time, it is not advisable to trade against the trend, especially when the buyers completely control the market.
However, in case gold falls below the 3343 support zone (the resistance level in yesterday's US session), the current uptrend may be temporarily interrupted. At that time, the market will need to form a new momentum to establish the next trend.
🔑 Important price zones:
Support: 3343 – 3330 – 3313
Resistance: 3373 – 3387 – 3400
📌 Trading strategy:
Hold BUY order at 3345, expected target 3400
Activate SELL order if there is a clear price rejection signal at 3373 or 3387 (with confirmation of selling pressure)
SELL at 3400 if the strong resistance zone reacts clearly
GOLD (XAUUSD): Another Bullish Pattern
Gold perfectly respected a rising trend line on a daily and
bounce from that, as I predicted earlier.
I see a strong bullish pattern on that now.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern and closed
on Friday, testing its neckline.
The next bullish confirmation that you should look for is its breakout.
Daily candle close above 3367 level will provide a breakout validation.
A bullish continuation will be expected then.
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Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions
Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment.
While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365.
A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395.
However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329.
Pivot: 3342
Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395
Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
XAU/USD technical analysis setup Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 6-hour timeframe, focusing on a key resistance zone that could trigger either a bullish breakout or a bearish reversal.
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Analysis Summary
Current Price: $3,357.95
Trend Context: Price is testing a strong resistance zone with a possible breakout or rejection in play.
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Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
1. Resistance Zone: $3,357–$3,372
Multiple previous rejections.
A confirmed close above $3,372.77 signals bullish strength.
2. Upside Targets:
Target 1: $3,393.87
Target 2: $3,452.08
3. Indicators:
RSI at 63.74, approaching overbought but still with room to rally.
EMA 200 is trending upward, supporting bullish bias.
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Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection
1. If price fails to close above $3,372.77, a rejection from resistance is likely.
2. Downside Targets:
Reversal projected toward the key support zone at $3,246.97
EMA 200 at $3,300.97 may provide temporary support before breakdown.
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Trade Ideas
Direction Entry Level Stop-Loss Target 1 Target 2
Bullish Close above $3,372 Below $3,346 $3,393.87 $3,452.08
Bearish Rejection from $3,357–$3,372 Above $3,380 $3,300 → $3,246.97
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
This is a critical decision point for Gold. A breakout above resistance can propel price to $3,450, while rejection could drive price back to $3,246. The reaction at the current zone will dictate the next major swing.
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Is Gold Ready for a Breakout or Pullback? | Weekly ForecastIn this video, we dive deep into the gold market analysis for the week of July 7 to July 11, 2025. I break down everything you need to know from last week’s price action — including the surge to $3,360, the impact of the U.S. tax cut and spending bill, and the 2.2% weekly gain despite consolidation.
We also look ahead at what to expect this week, including:
📅 July 9 Trade Tariff Deadline
📉 Key U.S. labor data (Initial Jobless Claims)
🏦 Market sentiment around Fed rate cut speculation
📊 Strategic insights based on technical and macro confluence
👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Vote, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns.
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments:
Do you think gold will break above $3,360 this week? Or are we gearing up for a deeper pullback?
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
Gold at a Decision Point-Just as Tariff Headlines Return(July 9)📌
4H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
Price is compressing inside a falling channel, nested within a large symmetrical triangle, and now sits right at a high-stakes confluence zone — a perfect intersection of dynamic EMAs, rising trendline support, and local structure.
This could be a pivot point for the next major leg.
🧭 Key Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Breakout Potential:
If price breaks above the falling channel and holds above $3,310–$3,320:
🎯 Target: $3,400, and eventually upper triangle resistance near $3,480–$3,500
✅ Watch for impulsive breakout + retest confirmation
🟡 Bearish Breakdown Risk:
If the rising trendline gives way and price closes below $3,275 (High Risk) and $3,245(Low Risk):
🎯 Targets: First $3,232, then key level $3,166
⚠️ Further weakness may expose $3,000 psychological support
🔍 Why It Matters:
• Symmetry + compression = potential volatility expansion
• Trump tariff headlines today (July 9) could trigger safe haven demand
• Strong historical respect of these trendlines
• EMAs aligning around decision zone
“Another BreathTaking Edge” — because this is one of those moments where market structure whispers louder than words.
🗣 Boost if you find value, and follow MJTrading for more clean setups.🚀🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPatterns #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #Forex #MJTrading
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Zoom out to see where we are:
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Today was another choppy day on gold with price accumulating in a small range before the break out. We had the bullish above and bearish below level so no choice but to wait for the break. Ultimately, 3320 broke on the 15min indi and then we managed to complete all of our bearish targets for the day. Well worth the wait!
Now we have support below at the 3285 level with resistance sitting at 3310 which is the level that will need to hold us down to target lower. Lower first, which would be ideal, we may get a RIP over the session to come.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3360, 3362, 3365, 3374, 3388 and 3396 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3331✅, 3324✅, 3321✅, 3310✅, 3306✅ and 3293✅ in extension of the move
Todays levels from Camelot:
Price: 3324
RED BOXES:
Break above 3336 for 3340, 3346, 3350 and 3360 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3304✅ and 3297✅ in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD - at cut n reverse Region? what's next??#GOLD .. perfect ride as per our last idea regarding gold and now market just above his ultimate area/region.
that is around 3320-23
keep close and if market hold it then further bounce expected otherwise not..
NOTE: we will cut n reverse our position below 3320 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
XAUUSD - Breakdown: CPI Week The only news I am focusing on this week is the mighty CPI coming up this week. With oil & energy prices creeping higher, I expect CPI to come in just in line to prediction or slightly elevated, though nothing too drastic, this keeps us in a higher-for-longer rate environment, fueling a DXY bullish bounce and keeping the Gold bears in play. If the data surprises, we’ll adjust accordingly and trade accordingly.
If the numbers land in line with forecasts: No real surprises, market already priced in. In this case, the outlook is neutral to slightly bearish.
If below forecast, a weaker CPI print could increase the odds of an early rate cut. That will likely weaken the dollar, which is good for $Gold. So, this will lead to bullish sentiment for $XAUUSD.
Will also watch RISK ON/OFF Sentiment
Gold bearishness once again in line with expectationsThe data released so far show that the US inflation data is stable and tends to decline, which increases the possibility of the Fed's monetary policy. The US dollar index fell first and then rose. Gold opened at around 3344 and rebounded all the way. The current highest rebound is around 3366. It fell back to 3352 before the data was released, and then quickly rebounded to 3360. After the data was released, it fell again quickly, and the current lowest touched around 3346. The short orders around 3360-3365 that we shared with brothers before were basically the highest short orders of the day, and we successfully completed our first goal. The brothers who participated in it all made good profits. Judging from the current trend of gold, we continue to participate in short orders during the rebound, and the long position is still around 3335-3330. After the release of the CPI data, it is bearish overall. The core is that it is lower than market expectations but higher than the previous value. Inflation has heated up again, which has once again suppressed the expectation of interest rate cuts. After this data, it also laid a good foundation for the decline in the market. If the price goes up again, it will still rely on the 3365 level to go short again. The data is obviously bearish, and it scared a lot of long positions before it was released.
Gold reference ideas:
Continue to short when it rebounds to around 3358-3365, with a target around 3350-3340;
Go long when it falls back to around 3335-3330, with a target around 3350.
It is the right time to go long after the shock and adjustmentGold opened higher at 3364 today, and after a brief surge to 3374, it entered a stage of shock and retracement. Our plan to arrange short orders near 3370 was successfully implemented, and we stopped profits in batches in the 3360-3355 range, making short-term profits. Overall, although it jumped higher due to the stimulus of news such as the increase in tariffs over the weekend, the momentum of the surge is limited, and the technical side still needs to retrace to digest the gains.
At present, the market has returned to the technical rhythm. The key support refers to the breakthrough point of 3340-3345 last Friday. Further exploration will look at the strong support of 3330. The overall rhythm is still mainly to arrange long orders near the low support, and going with the trend is the key. As long as the 3330 support is not broken, the daily line structure will still maintain a strong bullish trend. Do not blindly chase the short position. The operation of short orders against the trend needs to be particularly cautious. I will promptly remind you of the specific operation strategy according to the changes in the market. You can pay attention to the bottom notification. It is recommended that you keep paying attention and respond to the market rhythm steadily.
Reference for gold operation strategy: Go long on gold near the 3345-3355 area, target the 3365-3370 line. If it breaks above 3370, you can continue to hold and hope for further continuation.
July 15, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
From a fundamental perspective, the Asian session outlook remains buy on dip, especially above the 3341 support zone.
As long as price holds above 3341, the bullish plan remains valid.
If 3341 breaks down, bearish pressure may intensify.
Key lower supports to watch are 3310, 3285, and 3245 — monitor price action closely and stay flexible.
Follow the trend, respect key levels, and manage risk properly.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3393 – Resistance
• 3380 – Resistance
• 3375 – Intraday key resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint (bull-bear line)
• 3341 – Intraday key support
• 3330 – Support
• 3310 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological support
📈 Intraday Strategy
• SELL if price breaks below 3341 → target 3336, then 3330, 3323, 3315, 3310
• BUY if price holds above 3352 → target 3354, then 3360, 3364, 3370
If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.68%OANDA:XAUUSD / TVC:GOLD Long Trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 1.68%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice