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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bullish move)(15-07-2025)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (15-07-2025) Current price- 3358 "if Price stays above 3340, then next target is 3372, 3390 and 3410 and below that 3325 and 3315 ". -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AnupZiddi
11
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth? Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high. Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth. Resistance levels: 3373, 3394 Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345 There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450 Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
25
Expecting Gold bullish Movement The chart illustrates a potential bullish reversal setup for Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute timeframe Price action has recently tested and respected a key demand zone marked as the Kee point around the 32853 level This area acted as strong support with multiple rejections suggesting buyer interest Following this, the price has started forming higher lows and higher highs indicating the beginning of a bullish structure The large blue arrow suggests bullish momentum is expected to continue, aiming for upside targets Key Levels Kee Point Support Zone 3285 Crucial area where the reversal initiated Target 1: 3316 First resistance level and a potential take-profit zone Target 2: 3330 Final bullish target if momentum sustains Outlook As long as the price holds above the Kee Point, bullish continuation is favored Breaking and closing above Target 1 could lead to further gains toward Target 2 A break below the Kee Point would invalidate this bullish scenario This setup presents a potential buying opportunity with defined upside targets contingent on sustained bullish pressure
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
GOLD again targets $3,371, new bullish cycle conditionToday (Tuesday, July 15), in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD maintained a slight recovery trend, currently at around 3,360 USD/ounce. The spot OANDA:XAUUSD rose to a 3-week high on Monday, but quickly fell back and finally closed lower. Trump's open attitude towards trade negotiations has improved the market's risk-on sentiment and negatively impacted gold, a safe-haven asset. But gold still has a lot of potential risks for price increases, and personally, the fundamental trend for gold has not changed. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report today (Tuesday). According to a Reuters survey, economists expect the US CPI to increase year-on-year in June to 2.7% from 2.4% the previous month, while the core CPI is expected to increase year-on-year to 3% from 2.8%. The survey also showed that the US CPI is expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month in June, and the core CPI is also expected to increase 0.3% month-on-month. According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool", the market believes that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates in July and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged in September is about 30%. If the US core CPI rises by 0.4% or more in June, this could prompt market participants to reassess the possibility of a rate cut in September. In this case, the US Dollar could hold steady and push gold prices lower. On the other hand, if the data is lower than expected, gold will become more attractive while a weaker Dollar will be positive for gold prices. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD After gold reached the resistance target of attention to readers in the weekly publication at 3,371 USD, which is the location of the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement, it fell slightly but is now recovering positively. Currently, gold is trading in the range of 3,360 USD, the price action above the lower edge of the long-term rising price channel with support from the EMA21, gold is now likely to continue to retest the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. If gold breaks above $3,371 it will be eligible for a new bullish cycle, with the target then being around $3,400 in the short term, more so than $3,430. On the other hand, the RSI is pointing up, maintaining activity above 50, and this should be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum. It shows that there is still a lot of room for growth ahead. However, as of now, gold is still neutral in terms of trend, with conditions gradually tilting towards the possibility of price increase. Along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,340 – $3,310 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3390 - 3388⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3394 →Take Profit 1 3382 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3376 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3304 - 3306⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3300 →Take Profit 1 3312 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3318
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
GOLD Last move down Next Target after this Breakout?Gold edged higher on Tuesday ahead of key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to provide clearer insight into the Federal Reserve’s future interest rate decisions. Market participants are watching closely for any signals that could influence the dollar and yields, thereby impacting gold prices. Technical Outlook: Gold has entered a potential buy zone, showing signs of bullish support Price recently retested the 3353 level, forming a long squeeze setup and now aiming to challenge the resistance at 3373. A successful breakout above 3373 could open the path toward the 3400 and 3432 long-term targets. On the downside, a retest of the key 3345 level is also possible. This zone between 3345 – 3353 is seen as strong support, and as long as bulls defend it, upward momentum remains likely. PS: Support with like and comments for more batter insights to share with you.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
17
Back above $3,300, GOLD may remain neutral, tax focusOANDA:XAUUSD reclaimed the psychologically important level of $3,300/ounce last week, but while gold is still receiving some support as a safe haven amid economic and geopolitical risks, its upside momentum may be limited as the market shifts its attention to other commodities. Gold prices ended last week on a generally bullish note, rising back above $3,300 an ounce after US President Trump unexpectedly announced a series of new trade policies. Spot gold prices rose about 0.5% last week on Friday. Although the market initially doubted Trump’s self-imposed July 9 deadline, the overall market reaction remained steady and the renewed risk appetite helped the S&P 500 hit a new record high, somewhat undermining gold’s safe-haven appeal. The July deadline has been pushed back to August 1, but the global trade conflict is far from over. Gold has regained support after initial pressure after Trump announced a new trade policy on copper imports, along with a series of news stories about the relationship between Trump and the FED sent to readers throughout the past week. A sharp rise in copper prices will also add to inflationary pressures, exacerbate economic uncertainty and raise concerns about recession and stagflation. In this context, gold is expected to continue to receive support from potential risks. In addition to fierce competition in the commodity market, gold may remain fundamentally neutral in the short term, as economic data will support the Fed's neutral monetary policy. The key market focus next week will be the June Consumer Price Index (CPI). The Fed has made it clear that it is in no rush to raise interest rates while inflation risks remain high. However, traders still need to be cautious and closely monitor the situation surrounding the tariff war initiated by Trump, which will directly affect the price of gold. In case of negative news, the gold price will receive support and vice versa if positive news appears in the market. Over the weekend, US President Trump once again used the tariff tactic, announcing that he would impose a 30% tax on imports from the EU and Mexico, causing a strong reaction from the international community. This move not only casts a shadow over the relationship between Europe and the United States, as well as between the United States and Mexico, but also adds further uncertainty to the global trade model. EU politicians, businesses and academics were quick to respond, calling for unity to protect their interests, while Mexico stressed the need to maintain national sovereignty and pledged to respond calmly. Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold has a 3-day rally, and the upside momentum has reached the important target resistance at the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Gold's upside momentum is also limited by this Fibonacci retracement level, specifically it has slightly dropped to $3,355/oz. But overall, gold is still not in a position to form a specific trend, and the indicators and positions are mainly showing the possibility of continuing to accumulate sideways. For gold to have the conditions for a new bullish cycle, it needs to bring price activity above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, then the target will be around $3,400 in the short term, more than $3,430. Meanwhile, a pullback, which sees gold sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement, would open the door to a bearish cycle, with a target of around $3,246 in the short term, rather than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement. RSI hovering around 50 also suggests a hesitant market sentiment, so the short-term bias for gold is neutral. Along with that, notable positions will also be listed as follows. Support: $3,350 – $3,310 – $3,300 Resistance: $3,371 – $3,400 – $3,430 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3406 - 3404⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3410 →Take Profit 1 3398 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3392 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3340 - 3342⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3336 →Take Profit 1 3348 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3354
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
3
The 3400 mark will be the key for next week!Gold has been up and down this week, and the shock wash has intensified. It bottomed out and rebounded at 3282, and then steadily pulled up. After a slow rise to 3368 on Friday, the retracement was limited, and finally closed at 3355. So can gold be expected to be strong? Is it possible to reach 3400 next week? From the trend point of view, it is too early to say that it will turn strong. 3400 is an insurmountable barrier. Only by breaking through 3400 can we see a stable strong bull. If it is suppressed below 3400, the bulls will not be stable and may fall back at any time. We can only see large range fluctuations. From the overall trend point of view, gold is currently fluctuating widely in the large range of 3250-3400. It is safe to buy below 3300, and it is easy to go up. After all, it is still upward in the long run. Next week, we will focus on the gains and losses of the 3400 mark. It is not recommended to chase the high position directly on Monday. On the one hand, the interruption of the market after the weekend holiday can easily cause discontinuous rise. In addition, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there will either be a negative correction and a fall, or a large positive volume. Combined with the current trend and rhythm of gold, be careful of a high-rise fall, and it is easy to get trapped by chasing long positions at high positions. Don't feel that it will soar as soon as it rises, and the high point of 3500 seems to be within reach; don't feel that it will fall sharply as soon as it falls, and the 3000 mark is not a dream. We should stay away from those who sing long when it rises and sing short when it falls. The direction is not because you see it, so you believe it, but because you believe it, so you see it. There will always be a time when you chase the rise and sell the fall and you will return with nothing. Moreover, the high point of 3365 has not formed a substantial break and stabilized. On Monday, we still need to focus on the gains and losses of this position, so we need to look at it from two aspects: 1. If it rises directly at the opening, pay attention to the pressure near 3370-3380 and you can go short, and the target is 3350-3340! 2. If the market falls back at the opening, go long around 3340-3330, with the target above the high point of 3360-3368.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade-Daniel
1
XAUUSD 1440M forecast Based on the latest available information for July 15, 2025, the overall sentiment for XAUUSD (Gold) in the next 24 hours leans towards a bullish outlook, though with potential for short-term fluctuations and pullbacks. Key Drivers for Bullish Outlook: Escalating Trade Tensions: US President Donald Trump's ongoing tariff and trade policies are a significant factor. New tariffs and threats against various countries (EU, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Brazil, Canada) are creating global economic uncertainty, which typically boosts gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Broader geopolitical risks, including those related to Russia and Ukraine, also contribute to safe-haven demand for gold. Inflation Concerns: Tariffs are linked to inflation concerns. Gold performs strongly in a high-inflation environment, and market expectations are shifting towards a more gradual easing of interest rates by the Fed, allowing for inflation to be a potential driver. Central Bank Demand: Central banks globally, particularly the US and China, continue to be strong buyers of gold, indicating a sustained structural trend of higher gold purchases. Technical Support: Several analyses point to gold finding support at key levels (e.g., around $3340-3345, 200 EMA), suggesting potential for bounces and continuation of an upward trend. "Buy on Dip" Strategy: Many analysts are recommending a "buy on dip" strategy, indicating an underlying bullish bias and viewing any short-term declines as buying opportunities. Factors to Watch (Potential for Pullbacks/Volatility): Short-Term Weakness/Consolidation: Some technical indicators suggest short-term weakness or consolidation, with gold testing resistance levels (e.g., $3375-3380, $3400). US Dollar Strength: While trade tensions can weaken the dollar, there are mixed signals. A stronger US dollar can put downward pressure on gold prices as it makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies. Inflation Data and Fed Signals: Investors are closely watching US inflation data (CPI) and signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding interest rate cuts. While some expect cuts later in the year, any hawkish surprises could temper gold's rise. Trade Deal Hopes: Any signs of de-escalation in trade tensions or progress towards agreements could temporarily reduce safe-haven demand for gold. Specific Price Levels Mentioned: Resistance: $3375-3380, $3400, $3432, $3450-3470, $3500 (all-time high). Support: $3340-3345, $3325-3330, $3289-3303, $3240-3246. In summary, the prevailing sentiment for XAUUSD over the next 24 hours appears to be bullish, driven by ongoing global trade tensions and safe-haven demand. However, be prepared for potential short-term pullbacks or consolidation as the market digests new information and tests key resistance levels. For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by shoonya0000
XAUUSD Bullish Trend Fallowing the chart condition Gold continues its bullish trajectory, showing potential for an extension towards the 3400 level, driven by geopolitical concerns and dovish central bank sentiment. Recent tariff related comments from former President Trump have reignited global trade tensions. Fed Chair Powell's recent remarks suggest a cautious stance on future rate hikes, reinforcing bullish sentiment in precious metals. Technical Overview: Last Friday, XAUUSD reached the 3368 resistance zone, a critical level where price may consolidate. Momentum remains strong, and if the price breaks above this zone with volume confirmation, the next leg could target 3380–3400 However, caution is advised: if the price falls below 3342, but then regains ground quickly, it may still continue in the bullish trend. You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MrMartin_11
11
XAUUSD 1H | Bullish BOS & OB Retest | Targeting 3390+🚀 Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Timeframe is showing a clean Bullish Market Structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS ↑) confirming upside momentum. 🔹 Price retraced back into a strong Demand Zone (OB) and has started pushing upward again, indicating strong buyer interest. 🔹 Clear Order Block Retest after BOS confirms Smart Money Entry. 🔹 Target is marked around 3390+, based on previous liquidity and imbalance zones. 📈 Expecting continuation of bullish trend until the marked Target Point is reached. 💡 This setup follows pure SMC principles: BOS → OB Retest → Expansion. 🟢 Buy Bias Active | 📊 High Probability Trade Setup #XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #BreakOfStructure #OrderBlock #LiquidityGrab #TrustTechnicallyAnalysis
TVC:GOLDLong
by Liquidity_Gold_FX
11
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level, which is a pullback resistance aligning with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, the 71% Fibonacci retracement, and the 100% Fibonacci projection. A reversal from this level could lead to our take profit Entry: 3,392.02 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, the 71% Fibonacci retracement and the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 3,451.74 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 3,338.86 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold Looks Bullish: technical and fundamentalHi Guys! Gold is starting to flash major bullish signals, and this time, it’s not just about the chart. The technical setup is clean, but we’re also seeing fundamental tailwinds that could fuel a bigger move. Let’s break it down 1. Technical Setup: The QML Reversal Is In Play On the 1H chart, Gold is showing a textbook Quasimodo (QML) reversal pattern. Price made a lower low, then reversed up to break structure, and now it’s pulling back and respecting the key QML zone around $3,296. This zone has turned into strong support. As long as we stay above it, the structure suggests a continuation toward $3,367 — a clean upside liquidity target and the previous high. Strategy: Look for pullbacks into $3,296 for potential long entries with targets around $3,367 or higher. 2. Fundamental Tailwinds: Why Gold Is Gaining Strength The fundamentals are stacking up in Gold’s favor right now. Here’s what’s fueling the move: - Weakening USD & Rate Cut Expectations With the Fed increasingly signaling rate cuts by late 2025, the US dollar is losing steam. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like Gold, making it more attractive to investors. Traders are already pricing this in. - Softening Economic Data Recent U.S. data, including weaker-than-expected job growth and declining manufacturing numbers, points to a slowing economy. That puts more pressure on the Fed to pivot dovish, which historically sends Gold higher. - Central Bank Demand Global central banks (especially in Asia) continue to accumulate physical Gold as part of their long-term reserve strategy. That institutional demand provides strong support at lower levels. Technical + Fundamental = Strong Bullish Bias We’re seeing a solid confluence here: Chart says long (QML + bullish structure) Macro says long (dovish Fed + weaker dollar + safe haven demand) Drop your thought here!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by melikatrader94
14
Will gold return to 3500?XAU/USD Head and Shoulders Breakdown Analysis The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential bearish reversal setup. Left Shoulder: Formed mid-May with a local high followed by a dip. Head: A higher peak formed in mid-June. Right Shoulder: Formed recently at a lower high compared to the head, completing the structure. The neckline has been clearly defined, and price is currently hovering just above it. If the price breaks and closes below the neckline with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the pattern. Target: The projected target from the breakdown is around 3163, calculated by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward. Outlook: A confirmed break below the neckline would open the door for further downside toward the target zone. Bears will be in control if price sustains below the neckline with increasing volume. Wait for confirmation on the neckline break before considering short entries. If you are a newbie or your account is burning, don't trust any advice easily. Contact me. I will give you free advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jul 14 - Jul 18]This week, OANDA:XAUUSD opened at $3,342/oz, dropped to $3,282/oz, but then rebounded sharply to close at $3,355/oz. The recovery was mainly driven by former President Trump's announcement of new tariffs ranging from 20% to 50% on imports from 22 countries, effective August 1st. Particularly, a 35% tariff on Canadian goods — a key U.S. trading partner — raised concerns about global trade stability and supply chains. Trump also proposed 15–20% tariffs on most other trading partners, reigniting fears of global trade disruptions. At the same time, ongoing conflict between Israel and Hamas continued to weigh on sentiment, despite U.S. diplomatic efforts showing little progress. However, analysts note that gold still lacks strong momentum for a breakout. Trump's tariff threats may be more about negotiation leverage than triggering a full-blown trade war. Meanwhile, with the labor market recovering and inflation rising, the Fed is expected to maintain its neutral monetary policy, limiting short-term gold price movements. Although geopolitical tensions remain (e.g., Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Hamas), the ceasefire between Israel and Iran has reduced gold’s geopolitical risk premium. Looking ahead, key U.S. economic data next week — including CPI, PPI, and retail sales — will be closely watched. A strong June core CPI (0.4% or higher) could reduce the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in September, strengthening the USD and pushing gold lower. Conversely, weaker inflation data could boost expectations of a rate cut, supporting gold prices. 📌In terms of technical analysis, gold prices next week may continue to adjust and accumulate. Accordingly, if they surpass the 3,370 USD/oz mark, gold prices next week will challenge the 3,400-3,450 USD/oz range. On the contrary, gold prices next week will adjust down to 3,285 USD/oz, or even 3,245 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 3,350 – 3,310 – 3,300USD Resistance: 3,371 – 3,400 – 3,430USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3435 - 3433⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3439 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3329 - 3331⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3326
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading
sideways in weekend downtrend⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) struggle to extend Thursday’s recovery from the $3,309 region—a one-week low—consolidating within a tight range during Friday’s Asian session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to retreat from its peak since June 23, pressured by dovish signals from Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller. Additionally, growing concerns over US President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies and their potential consequences for global growth are keeping investors cautious, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal. These factors collectively help limit deeper losses in Gold, though the metal lacks clear bullish momentum for now. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is moving sideways, accumulating in the downtrend line, not much fluctuation in weekend news ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386 TP1: $3370 TP2: $3360 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3293-$3295 SL $3288 TP1: $3308 TP2: $3318 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3