Overall Trajectory BullishEntering long positions on XAU/USD based on a confirmed 3-Drive pattern on the H4 timeframe, aligning with confluence from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
As long as price stays and holds above 3200 I will remain bullish, if there is a close below 3200 then my analysis will be subject to change. Strong resistance will be at 3400 if it holds then the target is 3641 with a minor pullback at 3548.
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 15 July 2025Hello Traders,
Welcome to the US CPI Day, as you can see that market is in tight range for now and all eyes on the breakout for now
Only clear breakout of 3380 we will consider market will be bullish towards 3400 & 3425
If markets sustains below 3335 it will move towards 3305 or even 3285
All eyes on US CPI
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,363.43 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Excellent re-Buy opportunities as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I have Bought Gold throughout Friday's session within #3,330's however closed earlier below #3,348.80 (missed #3,352.80 benchmark break-out) however my Profits were already great so I don't mind. Keep Buying every dip on Gold (aggressive Scalps)."
I have re-Bought Gold firstly on #3,357.80, then #3,340's many times until actual #3,360.80 reversal towards #3,342.80 where I bought Gold again twice towards #3,352.80 benchmark. My key reversal points are nicely respected by Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold is showcasing underlying Bullish trend as #3,377.80 Resistance stands between current Price-action and #3,400.80 benchmark. However if #3,337.80 gets invalidated before any of the above happens, I have a Selling breakout as DX turned Neutral again on the Short-term (and remains Bearish on the Medium-term). This uptrend is directly related to the decline on DX but even then the drop on Gold will not be so strong. It seems that Investors who Sold Gold during the current #1-Week drop, closed their positions much earlier. Theoretically it makes Investors take capital off of riskier assets and place it in safe-haven assets such as Gold. Gold is testing once again #3,357.80 new / old Resistance after series of Bullish Hourly 1 chart’s candles (Engulfing, Three Outside Up) reaching Medium-term Resistance zone on #4th straight red candlestick. The Daily chart’s Volumes are on the rise again as the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel is looking to Price in a Higher High’s as last attempt was so far unsuccessful. Based on the Monthly chart where Bullish and Bearish Months take turns, I expect the whole July / August’s fractals to remain Bullish.
My position: My strategy remains the same, Buying every dip on Gold on my calculated key entry points which Gold respects and ultimately, anticipating #3,377.80 Resistance break-out to the upside.
XAU/USD 15 July Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Eyes on 3335–3325: Next Bullish Launchpad!!!Today, gold hit 3375 several times and then fell back after encountering resistance. The lowest has reached 3341. Although the rising structure has not been completely destroyed, and the technical double bottom structure and the inverted head and shoulder structure support resonance effect still exist below, since gold fell below 3350, it has not even been able to stand above 3350 in the current rebound. The gold bull pattern has been weakened to a certain extent, and the market has begun to diverge in the long and short consciousness.
Gold encountered resistance and fell back near 3375 three times, proving that the upper resistance is relatively strong. Gold must increase liquidity by retracement to store more energy for breakthrough, so the short-term correction of gold is actually within my expectations, which is why I advocate brave shorting of gold today! However, according to the current retracement range and the fact that gold has been unable to stabilize above 3350, I believe that gold has not fallen to the right level and there is still room for retracement below. So I think gold will continue to pull back to test the 3335-3325 area. If gold retests this area and does not fall below, we can boldly go long on gold in this area.
Once gold rebounds after testing the 3335-3325 area, as liquidity increases, the market may form a strong bullish force to support gold to continue its rebound and continue to the 3380-3390 area, or even the 3400-3410 area.
GOLD BUY M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 15, 2025
Gold is currently trading around 3362.050, showing strong bullish momentum after a Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmation. Price has broken previous structure highs and is now expected to continue the upward trend.
A bullish order block (marked in purple) has been identified as a demand zone, which could act as a strong support if the price pulls back.
Entry Plan:
Buy on a retest near the demand zone.
Stop Loss (SL): 3352
Target (TP): 3375
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Demand Area): 3352–3360
Resistance Levels:
Minor resistance: 3365.142, 3370.035
Final target zone: 3375 (Weak High)
Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way toward the target. Watch for a clean retest of the demand zone for a potential long entry.
Gold recently tapped into key liquidity zones✨ Gold Market Update – Key Insights You Need to Know ✨
Gold recently tapped into key liquidity zones—specifically the highs of the previous day and the previous week. After grabbing liquidity at those levels, the market closed below them, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
🔻 What could be next?
This price behavior suggests we might see further downside in the short term, possibly targeting the Fair Value Gap (FVG) below. If that area is reached, the market may find support and stage a rebound, potentially triggering a strong bullish move from that zone.
📊 What to watch for:
Price reaction around the FVG
Confirmation of support before entering any long positions
Volume and structure shifts on lower timeframes
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage risk wisely.
Analysis for next week on GOLDThankyou guys for watching. From now on, I will just be posting ideas only and no longer post in minds, because I think it is a waste of time trying to help people who don't want to be helped. If you have any questions please leave it in the comments instead, thankyou.
My sell entry : 3368.54
SL : 3373.54
TP : 3308
XAUUSD Trade Plan | 15 July 2025After observing the recent low breakdown and a clear liquidity grab, we saw a strong direction confirmation breakout. This suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward momentum.
🔄 Breakdown/Seller Trap triggered the reversal
🔹 Last Important Low respected
📈 Breakout confirms bullish direction
✅ Plan:
I’ll be watching for a pullback into the grey demand zone (highlighted area) for a potential long entry.
🕵️♂️ No FOMO — I’ll only enter after price shows clear bullish behavior in this zone.
🎯 Target: 3,365.89 resistance
📍 Entry Zone: Grey box (based on previous structure)
Let me know your thoughts — are you also watching this zone?
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TradingPlan #TradingView
Trading Signal for (XAU/USD) sell below $3,359 (21 SMA-7/8 MurraEarly in the European session, gold is trading around 3,341, below the 7/8 Murray and above the 21 SMA and the 200 EMA, with a bullish bias.
We can see that gold reached the 7/8 Murray level on the H4 chart. This has become strong resistance, so we believe a technical correction could occur below this level in the coming hours.
On Monday, we observed gold reaching a low of 3,238, where it found a technical rebound,, as this coincided with the bottom of the downtrend channel.
Gold has a bullish bias, having reached oversold levels since June 26. It is likely that after a technical correction, it could resume its bullish cycle and reach the 8/8 Murray level at 3,437.
If gold falls below 3,359 in the coming hours, we could expect it to reach the 200 EMA around 3,321. This area will be seen as an opportunity to resume buying, as a bullish trend is emerging.
The RSI indicator is showing a positive signal, so we could take advantage of a technical rebound around 3,320 or 3,305. Both levels could provide gold with good support and a buying opportunity.
XAU/USD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3353.05
Support and resistance levels:
3386.70
3374.12
3365.96
3340.13
3331.97
3319.40
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 3353.05, consider buying in, the first target price is 3365.96
If it breaks through 3340.13, consider selling in, the first target price is 3331.97
XAUUSD Swing Trade Idea 14-07-2025Hello Traders!
Here's a breakdown on XAUUSD: H4 Timeframe
1. Overall trend is Bullish; Price has been forming HH and respecting HL.
2. By using the identified swing points, we can highlight discounted levels where we expect price to resume the bullish trend. (Impulsive phase)
3. Gold in currently in a (Corrective Phase), and within that corrective structure we can identify impulsive phase and corrective phase. Like they say a structure within a structure
4. Breaking down the current structure we can clearly see that price grabbed liquidity above the last LH and mitigated the supply area which then led to MSS/CHOCH in the market.
5. We can then identify those internal points as internal high and internal low. I am currently expecting price to pull back into premium levels where I will be looking for selling opportunities targeting the discounted level.
6. Current price is playing around EQL, and if we are to zoom in on that structure, we will see that price is respecting a bullish trend structure by forming HH and respecting HL, currently expecting price to pull back into discounted levels then push higher to our premium level, as illustrated.
Xausd techinical analysis.This chart shows the Gold Spot price vs. the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with some key technical analysis elements applied. Here's a breakdown of the key components:
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🔍 Chart Analysis
1. Current Price:
The current market price is 3,344.875, down 0.32%.
2. Support Zones (Purple Rectangles at Bottom):
Around 3,335 – 3,340
Lower support around 3,325 – 3,330
3. Resistance Zone (Purple Rectangle at Top):
Around 3,370 – 3,375
4. **Trendline (Pink
XAUUSD ANALYSYS 💸GOLD💸
Market Outlook: Bullish
• Price broke out of a downtrend channel and is now forming higher highs and higher lows — clear sign of a trend reversal.
• Current move is a pullback after a strong push up.
⸻
📍 Key Zones:
• Buy Zones and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are marked.
• These are areas where buyers may step in again.
• Price is pulling back into these zones — potential long entry area.
⸻
🎯 Target:
• The top red line marks a liquidity zone or resistance.
• Price is likely aiming to reach this area next.
⸻
📈 Trade Setup Idea:
• Buy on pullback to the FVG / Buy Zone.
• Stop Loss: Below the Buy Zone.
• Take Profit: At the previous high (resistance zone).
⸻
⚠️ Risk to Watch:
• If price breaks below the Buy Zone, bullish setup is invalidated — wait for new structure.