How to use Fibonacci to determine a trend change or a correctionFibonacci is a great tool that I have learned to use in different trading situations. One of the great features of the Fibonacci ratios is the ability to reveal market information.
In this video, I demonstrated how you can use the Fibonacci to confirm a trend change or a retracement.
Enjoy!
Fibonacci
JUST FOR ME NOT FAthis area is supply area, maybe pair can visit the top point of chart but ı don't think so pair can't be stand there
second setup is fib line and demand area, if pair will bullish ı wanna get the train here
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: AMP's perfect Golden Growth FibThis Chart is a an example of a "Golden" Fib series.
This Concept is from "Chapter 5" of my going "book".
This Religion is of the universality of the "Golden Ratio".
Marked on chart are "Pings", ricochets that one can almost HEAR.
"Not all Pings start a reversal, but Most reversals start with a Ping."
Top had a "Loud" ping, with subsequent waves also marked by Pings.
Every Ping is like a bug hitting a spider's Web.
The vibration alerts and emboldens other strands.
Thus we observe the behavior at each strand for clues.
.
I do not use "Fibs" in the "traditional" manner (retracements).
I use Fibs to plot "Ripples" (extensions) created by "Impulses".
Then look for "Confluences" to map the "interference Pattern".
My "Book" detailing my Methodology with Numerous Examples:
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples
Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: 'one' Ping only
Chapter 7: The Mighty 2.618: like a Rook in Chess
.
How To Trade Quality Pin BarsAfter the Pin Bar Formed At The EMA 10 EMA 20, Do The Following Actions
Draw Your Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Draw Horizontal Support Levels
Enter At Pin Bar Close Price
Exit At The Previous Swing Low Level
The attributes that made this a quality Pin Bar:
Pin Bar Close Price is in the Fibonacci Retracement 50% and 38.2% Range Area
Pin Bar Close Price is in the EMA 10 EMA 20 Range Area
Pin Bar at Lower High
Downtrend
Technical Chart Of How To Trade The Pin Bar. Before and After Charts. Click on Charts.
A Comprehensive Guide to Fibonacci RetracementsHello traders, in this post, we will be going over one of the most commonly used tools in the equities (stocks), forex (fx), and cryptocurrency markets - the "Fibonacci Retracement". For a better viewing experience, please view this on your desktop/PC, as the mobile and tablet versions of the charts are harder to read.
Although I have briefly touched on how to use the Fibonacci Retracement tool in my previous Elliott Waves series, we are now going to go over it in depth, and talk about how this tool can help you find entries and exits within an existing trend, which also helps identify whether you are in a bullish or bearish trend.
The Fibonacci Retracement tool, although widely used by many traders, is almost always not correctly used by new traders. Most traders will often connect the wrong points, indicating the wrong Fibonacci retracement levels. Here, I will be explaining the proper way to use the Fibonacci Retracement tool in a very simple translated friendly guide in one guide.
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What Is the Fibonacci Retracement?
Fibonacci Retracements (Fib(s) for short), are a set of 'ratios', defined by mathematically important Fibonacci sequence. This allows traders to identify key levels of support and resistances for price action. Unlike other indicators, Fibonacci retracements are FIXED, making them very easy to interpret. When combined with additional indicators, Fibs can be used to identify potential entry and exit points with high probability to trade on trending movements. Fibonacci retracements are used to indicate levels of support and resistance for a stock’s price. Although they are similar to moving averages in this respect, Fibonacci retracements are set by the extent of the previous bullish or bearish run and do not change each day in the current trend as moving averages do. Therefore, it can be significantly easier to identify and anticipate support and resistance levels from Fibonacci sequences.
How Is the Fibonacci Retracement Calculated? (You don't need to calculate it yourself - It's already done for you!)
Fibonacci retracements are based on what is known as the 'Fibonacci sequence', where each number in the sequence can be added to the previous number to produce the following number within the sequence. Now, you might be confused here, but don't! - I am just explaining the concept on how it's calculated. You do not need to personally calculate the actual sequence of the Fibonacci Retracement, as everything is already pre-determined and calculated within the tool itself on TradingView. To put it simply, dividing any number in the sequence by the following number yields 1.6180 – known as the "Golden Ratio" – while dividing any number by its predecessor yields 0.6180. Dividing any number in the sequence by two positions in advance yields 0.3820, while dividing any number by a number three positions in advance yields 0.2360. These ratios emanating from the Fibonacci sequence are found throughout nature, mathematics, and architecture - such as flowers, buildings, and so forth. Yes, if you search for Fibonacci sequence examples, you can find these within daily uses, not only in trading.
Now, let's get into the meat and potatoes. Retracement levels for a stock/cryptocurrency are drawn based on the prior bearish or bullish movement. Don't forget this - you need to know whether you are in a bullish or bearish trend. Is the stock or coin going up? or down? To plot the retracements, draw a trendline from the low to the high (also known as the swing low to the swing high) within a continuous price movement trend – Fibonacci retracement lines should be placed at 61.80%, 38.20%, and 23.60% of the height of the line. Again, these numbers are already calculated for you within the tool itself. In a bullish trend, the retracement lines start from the top of the movement (i.e. the 23.60% line is closest to the top of the movement), whereas in a bearish movement the retracements are calculated from the bottom of the movement (i.e. the 23.60% line is closest to the bottom of the movement).
How to Trade Using the Fibonacci Retracement
Once you have drawn a set of Fibonacci retracements on a chart of your liking, it is possible to anticipate potential reversal points where support or resistance will be encountered. If the retracements are based on a bullish trend, the retracements should indicate potential support levels where a downtrend will reverse bullishly. So to put it simply, the pre-determined Fibonacci levels, should in theory and practicality, act as resistance. If not, there is almost 100% certainty, even if the support/resistance is not held, there will always be some form of price reaction at each Fibonacci level just based on the Market Psychology movements. If the retracements are based on a bearish movement, the retracements should indicate potential resistance levels where a rebound will be reversed bearishly, which is the vice-versa situation for the bullish movement trend.
The most common reversals based on Fibonacci retracements occur at the 38.20%, 50%, and 61.80% levels (50% comes not from the Fibonacci sequence, but from the theory that on average stocks retrace half of their prior movements). Although retracements do occur at the 23.60% line, these are less frequent and require close attention since they occur relatively quickly after the start of a reversal. In general, retracement lines can be considered stronger support and resistance levels when they coincide with the overall trend, meaning, that if you know that you are in an established bullish or bearish trend, you will most certainly get some form of reaction at the most common reversal levels within the Fibonacci level, which is shown in the image below.
Whenever applying Fibonacci retracements, keep in mind that retracement lines represent only potential support and resistance levels, they are NOT 100% set in stone – they represent price levels at which to be alert, rather than hard buy and sell signals; however, they have HIGH PROBABILITY. It is important to use additional indicators, in particular MACD, to identify when support or resistance is actually being encountered and a reversal is likely. The more that additional indicators are pointing towards a reversal, the more likely one is to occur. Also note that failed reversals, especially at the 38.20% and 50% retracement levels, are common.
IMPROVE YOUR TRADING | 4 TYPES OF TRADE CONFIRMATION ✅👌
"Look for a confirmation!"
"Wait for a confirmation!"
When I was learning how to trade and when I was watching and reading different trading educators, these words naturally pissed me off. What the hell are you talking about? What confirmation?
It was a full-blown mystery...🤯
Then, once I started to mature in trading and trade full-time, I became an author on TradingView.
Posting my forecasts and trading setups, I frequently mentioned the confirmation.
And now the newbies that are reading me and learning from me are pissed off...🤬
That is so funny I guess.
But the truth is that the confirmation must become a fundamental part of your trading strategy. It is your key to successful trading.
What exactly is the confirmation?
It depends on many many different things, in this article I will discuss with you the 4 main types of confirmation and give you detailed examples.
1️⃣ - PRICE ACTION CONFIRMATION
That is actually what I prefer.
Analyzing different markets and searching for decent trading opportunities often times we find some peculiar instruments to watch.
Identifying the market trend and key levels we find the potential spots to trade from.
But do we just open the trade once the "ZONE" is spotted?
I wish it could be that simple...
Trading just the zone, without additional clues brings very negative figures. We definitely need something else.
Price action & candlestick patterns can be those clues.
Accurate reflection of the current local market sentiment makes the patterns a very reliable confirmation.
Dodji's, pin bars, double tops/bottoms ...
Proven by history, the skill of identification & reading the patterns will pay off quickly.
Being in some sense the language of the market, the patterns are the fundamental part of my trading strategy.
2️⃣ - FIBONACCI LEVELS
Fibonacci levels are a very popular technical tool. Being applied properly it helps the trader to confirm or, alternatively, disqualify the identified "ZONE".
With multiple different methods like confluence trading, fibs are applied in hedge funds and various banking institutions.
The main problem with the fibs, however, is complexity and a high degree of subjectivity. Meeting different traders and watching different posts on TradingView I noticed that all traders tend to have their own vision. There is no universal system to apply here, a proper fib.confirmation technique can be built only with long-lasting backtesting and practicing.
3️⃣ - FUNDAMENTAL NEWS
The figures in the economic calendar, news, tweets. Actual fundamental news can become your best confirmation tool.
However, the main obstacle right here is the promptness, validity and reliability of the data that you get.
The information shouldn't be delayed and it must be objectively true.
The search for such a source is by itself is a very time-consuming and labor-intensive business not even mentioning its potential costs.
And that is not all. Knowing how to make sense of that data, its proper perception, and understanding requires a solid economical and financial background and experience.
At the end of the day, becoming an expert in fundamental analysis, the trader can easily sort the trading zones and trade only the ones that are confirmed by a decent fundamental trigger.
4️⃣ - TECHNICAL INDICATORS
I believe all the traders apply some indicators. From a simple moving average to some complex composite algorithms, indicators play a very important role in trading.
Being 100% objective and providing up-to-date real numbers and figures, they are our allies in a battle against subjectivity.
For many traders, the various signals from indicators are considered to be accurate and reliable confirmations.
Many algotrading solutions are operating simply relying on such signals and being able to bring consistent profits proves the power of technical indicators.
What confirmation type should you rely on?🧐
I guess the main rule right here is that the confirmation must MAKE SENSE to you. You should feel the logic behind that. It must make you confident in your action, even in case of the occasional losses, it must keep you calm and humble.
Let me know in a comment section what confirmation do you prefer!
💝Please, support my work with like and comment!
Thank you for reading.
How Fibonacci Retracement WorksHow Fibonacci retracement works
In trading, these ratios are also known as retracement levels. Traders wait for prices to approach these Fibonacci levels and act according to their strategy. Usually, they look for a reversal signal on these widely watched retracement levels before opening their positions. The most commonly used of the three levels is the 0.618 – the inverse of the golden ratio (1.618), denoted in mathematics by the Greek letter.
How to draw Fibonacci retracement levels
Drawing Fibonacci retracement levels is a simple three-step process:
In a downtrend: (reverse for uptrend)
Step 1 – Identify the direction of the market: downtrend
Step 2 – Attach the Fibonacci retracement tool on the top and drag it to the right, all the way to the bottom
Step 3 – Monitor the three potential resistance levels: 0.236, 0.382 and 0.618
Trading using Fibonacci retracements
Every trader, especially beginners, dreams of mastering the Fibonacci theory. A lot of traders use it to identify potential support and resistance levels on a price chart which suggests reversal is likely. Many enter the market just because the price has reached one of the Fibonacci ratios on the chart. That is not enough! It is better to look for more signals before entering the market, such as reversal Japanese Candlestick formations or Oscillators crossing the base line or even a Moving Average confirming your decision.
Please look on chart: I wait for price action to break out of a range then pull back into range action- then look for trend to start (like chart downtrend)
Fib Retracement From ScratchHello, traders!
As you can see, SkyRock traders always use Fib tools for our analysis and predictions. We find Fibonacci tools a great powerful series of instruments that’s necessary to use. Today we’ll speak about one of my favorite TA tools - Fib Retracement.
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points. Well, it seems to be not very important and attractive how to calculate Fib Retracement Levels. You should just know that they are based on something called the Golden Ratio. It’s believed that all natural laws are based on this ratio. However, the right usage of it is deadly important.
To initialize it, put the first point to the previous lower low and the second to the confirmed higher high during the up-trend and vice versa during the sown-trend.
What can it tell you?
Initially, support and resistance. It could hardly be possible to find the tool better for such purpose. Then, the levels of it is usually reached, thus it may produce some signals. Although it’s very powerful tool, it’s kinda ridiculous idea to use it marginally. Also, the areas of sideways is also defined by it, cause of high probability of consolidation in «Golden Pocket». And at last, it helps ms to define Gartley and Elliott patterns.
Well, guys, as you can see it’s really great and multifunctional instrument that can help every of you to trade and make money trading. Use it in the right way! Have a nice trading day, dear traders!
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
Fibonacci Masterclass - Fibonacci Retracement and ExtensionHi guys, I have finally completed the thread on Fibonacci (Though it took longer than usual). I have tried with the best of my little knowledge to create this thread. This has everything you need to know about Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension. Also, if the thread is free that doesn't mean I have compromised with the quality. All you have to do is just read this thread again and again until you get a good grasp of it. everything.
Table of Contents:
1. What Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?
2. Significance of Fibonacci Retracement levels
3. Finding Fibonacci Retracement Levels
4. How to use the Fibonacci retracement levels?
5. What are Fibonacci Extensions?
6. Significance of Fibonacci Extension levels
7. Finding Fibonacci Extension levels
8. Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions
What are Fibonacci Retracement levels?
• Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate areas where the price could stall or reverse.
• These horizontal levels can act as a potential support or resistance levels
• They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage which means how much of a prior move the price has retraced.
• The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%.
• While 50% is not a pure Fibonacci ratio, but it is still used as a support and resistance indicator. This is because people worldwide regard it as an important level.
• The price won’t always bounce from these levels. They should be looked at as areas of interest. Hence, please use the Fibonacci retracement as a confirmation tool.
Significance of Fibonacci Retracement levels
Fibonacci retracements can be used to:
• Place entry orders
• Determine stop-loss levels
• Set price targets
For example , A stock may be in an uptrend. After a move up, it retraces to the 61.8% level. Then, it starts to go up again. Since the bounce occurred at a Fibonacci level during an uptrend, you can enter long positions with a stop loss just below the Fibonacci level or at the candlestick low.
Finding Fibonacci Retracement levels
In order to find the Fibonacci retracement levels, you have to find the recent significant Swing High and Swing Low.
• For uptrends, select the Swing Low and then the Swing High.
• For downtrends, select the Swing High and then the Swing Low.
Example: Fibonacci retracement in an uptrend
Example: Fibonacci retracement in a downtrend
How to use the Fibonacci retracement levels?
If the price is approaching a Fibonacci level, you should look out for the following things at the point of interaction or in the vicinity of the level.
• Some reversal candlestick pattern
• Volume is above average.
• Moving average
• RSI divergence
• Previous S/R level or pivot level
The trade will be a high probability trade if some of these factors create a confluence zone.
What are Fibonacci Extensions?
• Fibonacci extension is a tool that can be used to find price targets or estimate how far a price may move after the retracement/pullback is over.
• Extension levels are also possible areas of interest where the price may stall or reverse.
• It can be used to find projected areas of support or resistance when the price is moving into an area where other methods of finding support or resistance are not applicable or evident.
• If in a stock, a new high/low occurs, the trader can use the Fibonacci extension levels to get an idea of where the price can go.
• Fibonacci extension levels can be calculated to give the trader ideas on profit target placement.
Significance of Fibonacci Extension levels:
• Fibonacci extensions can be used for any timeframe and in any market- stocks, commodities, cryptocurrencies, etc.
• Fibonacci extension levels indicate a price area that will be significant for the stock after the pullback/correction is over.
• Extension levels can be drawn on different price waves over time. When levels from these different waves converge at one price, that could be a very important area.
Finding Fibonacci Extension levels
In order to find the Fibonacci extension levels, you have to find the recent significant Swing High and Swing Low.
• For uptrends, click on the Swing Low and then on the Swing High. Then go to the Fibonacci setting and click on reverse. Or if your software directly has the extension tool then it’s even easier.
• For downtrends, click on the Swing High and then on the Swing Low. Then go to the Fibonacci setting and click on reverse.
Example: Fibonacci extension in an uptrend
Example: Fibonacci extension in a downtrend
Difference Between Fibonacci Retracements and Fibonacci Extensions
• Fibonacci retracements provide levels for a pullback whereas Fibonacci extensions provide levels to move in the direction of the existing trend.
• For instance, a stock goes from 50 to 100, and then back to 75. The move from 100 to 75 is a retracement. If the price starts rallying again and goes to 150, that is an extension because the price moved past the previous swing high which is 100 in this case.
This is everything you need to know about Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. This thread is more than enough to make you profitable. Keep reading and revising until you learn everything written in this post. I hope you find this post useful. Also, if anyone is interested in getting a consolidated PDF version of this thread, then you can message me, I'll provide it.
Disclaimer: This is NOT investment advice. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Invest your capital at your own risk.
Happy learning. Cheers!
@johntradingwick
Retracements and Expectations👨🏫 A students ask me to clarify a strategy I use when momentum trading using retracements in something I call the "Springboard Effect"
The theory is, the deeper the retracement after the initial impulse move the less chance of an extension or "strength" of the continuation.
I like to use the analogy of a Spring Board, (or diving board) and the stiffness of the board or the amount of "spring" it has 👇
🤔 Imagine we we have 4 different boards, all with a different amount of springs and we are going to drop the same amount of weight ⚖️ from the same height onto each board.
When we drop the weight onto the board that has lots of springs, it wont retract far before launching the weight high 🚀
If we drop the weight on a board that has a less springs it will retract further, but have less strength to launch the weight very high 🛫
If we drop the weight onto a board that has barely any springs then it will retract a lot and then struggle to even launch the weight higher than the height it was dropped from 😤
In this analogy.....
The height we dropped the weight from, is the top of the impulse move 📈
The different boards are the different fib retracement levels 🧮
The springs are the buyers at those levels 💵
How far it throws the weight is the strength or price action of the extension 💪
👉 A Bounce on the 382 tells us that there are plenty of buyers wanting to enter this market asap, this is a good sign that the extension could be strong. I like to target the 1.618 extension and or match it up to a level of resistance close by
👉 A bounce on the 50 tells me there is still a lot of bullish momentum but buyers where happy to buy it much lower, I'll still consider this bullish and target the 1.272 extension and match it up with some resistance close by or front run the level if I have to.
👉 A bounce on the 618 I dont really consider to be a strong move, I feel we will get a good bounce and may extend further, but I play close attention to the previous high incase we double top. I will look for things like candle stick reactions and use the CCI to spot divergence if momentum is lacking.
👉 A bounce on the 782 I consider a failure of the trend, I will expect buyers to still step in, but it will be a weak bounce and only really look to target other fib levels inside the retracement as potential resistance and this trade becomes more of a short term scalp.
I hope this makes sense and adds some value to your trading, peace ✌️
Elliott Corrective & Impulse Waves Understanding Impulsive and Corrective Waves
We need to review some basics around price movement before moving into the exact mechanics of the Elliott Wave Theory. Each price chart has three basic types of price action phases. Elliott Wave (EW) price patterns are divided into: impulsive, corrective, and consolidation.
Impulsive waves (momentum/motive waves)
An impulsive wave is price movement that initiates progress in one direction, which is called the trend. Price usually moves more distance (in pips) and quicker (less time) when trending. This makes trending moves more appealing for trade setups. The waves are split into 5 impulsive waves with the trend and 3 corrective waves against the trend.
Corrective waves (correction)
Corrective waves are against the trend (price movements that are reactionary in relation to the previous trend-setting move). They essentially attempt to revert or undo the movement that was initiated by the preceding motive wave. Price usually moves less distance (in pips) and slower (more time), although fast corrections can occur as well (zigzags). This makes corrective moves less appealing for trade setups. If the trend is bullish, then the correction of the trend would be bearish. If the trend is bearish, then the correction of the trend would be bullish.
Main Elliott Wave Rules
The Elliott Wave Principle has three core rules. Your wave analysis must match these Elliott Wave rules, otherwise the wave count is incorrect.
1. Wave 2 never retraces more than 100% of wave 1.
2. Wave 3 cannot be the shortest of the three impulse waves, namely waves 1, 3, and 5.
3. Wave 4 does not overlap with the price territory of wave 1, except in the rare case of a diagonal triangle formation.
Elliott waves will keep you trading on the right side of waves and not against the big banks and traders, keep your trading as easy as possible.
For Education Purpose ''Not Fınancıal Advise''The most important resistance is 0,030 , if we dump there then go up I expect 0,0360 first of all, if the resistance diffraction strongly, we can see 0,0282
CONFLUENCE TRADING | YOUR KEY TO ACCURATE ENTRIES 🥇
If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries,
you definitely should try confluence zones .
Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements.
In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi.
❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line
(it should match higher lows if the market is bullish;
it should match lower highs if the market is bearish).
Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions ,
you can look for a confluence zone.
1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line.
2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend.
Draw a fib retracement based on it
(swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish,
swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish).
3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one).
Draw a fib retracement based on it.
4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line.
In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point.
5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point.
You will get a perfect trend following opportunity.
❤️ Please, support this idea with a like and comment! ❤️
⬇️ Subscribe to my social networks! ⬇️
How To Trade Elliott Waves & ABC Correction WavesElliott wave analysts hold that each individual wave has its own signature or characteristic, which typically reflects psychology of moment . Understanding those personalities is a key to the application of the Wave Principle; they are defined as follows:
Five wave pattern - dominant trend (Bullish):
Wave 1: Wave one is rarely obvious at its inception. When the first wave of a new bull market begins, the fundamental news is almost universally negative.
Wave 2: Wave two corrects wave one, but can never extend beyond the starting point of wave one.
Wave 3: Wave three is usually the largest and most powerful wave in a trend.
Wave 4: Wave four is typically clearly corrective.
Wave 5: Wave five is the final leg in the direction of the dominant trend. The news is almost universally positive and everyone is bullish. Unfortunately, this is when many average retail traders finally buy in, right before the top.
Three wave pattern - corrective trend (Bearish):
Wave A: Corrections are typically harder to identify than impulse moves. In wave A of a bear market, the fundamental news is usually still positive.
Wave B: Prices reverse higher, which many see as a resumption of the now long-gone bull market. Those familiar with classical technical analysis may see the peak as the right shoulder of a head and shoulders reversal pattern.
Wave C: Prices move impulsively lower in five waves. Volume picks up, and by the third leg of wave C, almost everyone realizes that a bear market is firmly entrenched. Wave C is typically at least as large as wave A and often extends to 1.618 times wave A or beyond.
Note: Where is PA on EurCad pair going next week? look at weekly and monthly charts (all time lows)? Making doji or undecided candles? Head & Shoulder pattern? Continue bearish...Are you using Fib retracement tool? golden zone 61.8%. ... or Friday daily doiji- why not trade price action in which ever way breaks this? Good luck.
CONFLUENCE TRADING | YOUR KEY TO ACCURATE ENTRIES 🥇
If you are struggling with the identification of accurate trading entries,
you definitely should try confluence zones .
Note: there are hundreds of variations of confluence elements.
In this example, we will discuss trend lines and fibonnachi.
❗️To identify a confluence zone, the price must follow a trend line
(it should match higher lows if the market is bullish;
it should match lower highs if the market is bearish).
Once the trend line is confirmed by at least two touches and consequent reactions ,
you can look for a confluence zone.
1️⃣Project a trend line and identify the next POTENTIAL touchpoint of the market with a trend line.
2️⃣Take the last impulse in the direction of the trend.
Draw a fib retracement based on it
(swing low to swing high in case if the market is bullish,
swing high to swing low in case if the market is bearish).
3️⃣Take the previous impulse (it must be in the same direction as the initial one).
Draw a fib retracement based on it.
4️⃣Look for a match of retracement levels of the last two impulses and a projected trend line.
In case if two retracement fib.levels & trend line match, you found a confluence point.
5️⃣ Apply it as a safe entry point.
You will get a perfect trend following opportunity.
❤️ Please, support this idea with a like and comment! ❤️
⬇️ Subscribe to my social networks! ⬇️
EW FIBONACCI Ratios, FIB Retracement and Extension application !In this post, I'm going to focus on Fib Retracement and Fib Extension Ratios by Elliott Wave, and show you how to best use these tools.
Fibonacci ratios are mathematical ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence.The Fibonacci sequence is the work of Leonardo Fibonacci.
Fibonacci sequence is used in many applications, movies and photography, space studies, stock market actions, and many other fields.
Fibonacci is a proven approach for measure price movement relationships. For Elliott heads, it means Fibonacci numbers are tools to help guide us in our interpretation where we think price movements will go.
The most common Fibonacci ratios used in the stock markets are:
1 - 1,272 - 1,618 - 2,618 -3,618- 4.23 (extension)
0.236 - 0.382 - 0.5 - 0.618 - 0.786 (retracement)
Let's start with Elliott Impulsive Wave rules !
Wave 1: the beginning of each wave and retracet with
Wave 2: may never retrace deeper than the beginning of wave 1
Wave 3: often the longest, but never the shortest
Wave 4: may never retrace below the top of wave 1
Wave 5: x
Fibonacci ratios :
Wave 2
The most common retracements we look for in a Wave 2 pullback are either a 0.5 or 0.618 retracement of Wave 1
We expect only 12% of Wave 2 to hold 0,382 retracements of Wave 1
We anticipate 73% of Wave 2 retracements between 0,5 to 0,618
We anticipate 15% of Wave 2 to retrace below the 62%
Wave 3
Wave 3 is related to Wave 1
Fibonacci relationships:
Wave 3 is either
1,618 length of Wave 1
or 2,618 the length of Wave 1
or 4,236 the length of Wave 1
The most common multiples of Wave 1 to Wave 3 are the 1,618 and 2,618
If Wave 3 is extending, we typically look for 4,236 or higher
Only approximately 2% will a Wave 3 be less than Wave 1
We anticipate 15% of Wave 3 trade between 1 and 1,618 of Wave 1
We can anticipate 45% of the time Wave 3 will push to between 1,618 and 1,75
We can anticipate 8% of Wave 3 will extend beyond 2,618 or higher
Wave 4
Wave 4 is related to Wave 3
0,236 of Wave 3 or
0,382 of Wave 3 or
0,50 of Wave 3 or
0,618 of Wave 3
We can anticipate only 15% of the time Wave 4 to retrace between 0,236 to 0,382
We can anticipate 60% of the time Wave 4 to retrace between 0,382 and 0,5
We can anticipate 15% of the time Wave 4 to retrace between 0,5 and 0,618
We can anticipate 10% of the time Wave 4 retrace 0,618 or greater
Wave 5
Wave 5 has two relationships. Wave 5 has a direct correlation to the Fibonacci relationship of Wave 3
1. If Wave 3 is greater than 1.62, or extended
Wave 5 is a 1 to 1
or 1.618 of Wave 1
or 2,618 of Wave 1
I don't know any statistics, but in my experience a 1.618 or 1 to 1 is the most likely
2. If Wave 3 is less than 1,618. Wave 5 will often overextend.The ratio of Wave 5 will be based on the length from the beginning of Wave 1 to the top of Wave 3
Extended Wave 5 is either 0,618 from the beginning of Wave 1 to top of Wave 3
or 1,618
Unfortunately, my english is not so good and I work with google translate, but if you have any questions I will be happy to answer them .
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Fib retracement and Extension application follow 📚
My new fibonacci levels toolHi crypto traders,
After many years of using Fibonacci retracement, my predictions started to be less relevant since Trading View started allowing to change the fib levels from regular scale to LOG scale. Since then I got confused especially with crypto that many coins 10x easily. So i decided to get my own fib levels tool (feel free to back test it on your own).
Basically, I took the Fibonacci sequence numbers of 21,34,55,89 as my fib levels to watch for retracement. For the number 76, I added fib number, 21, to 55 . Then I ‘ve noticed that between 21 and 34, the difference is the UNLUCKY number 13. Number 13, it is also the difference between 76 and 89. This gave me a confirmation that 76 is an important level to watch even if it is not a fib level.
Hopefully this is helpful for some people out there. From now on, I will be using those levels for my chart analysis.
Stay safe!
Day Trading With Fibonacci Extension (Buy)Set up on USDCAD 15 minute chart with fib retracement extension tool:
1) Right Pair? Yes- USDCAD
2) Right Price? Yes, Enter at 1.20400 with stop at 1.20300 (10 pips)
3) Right Session? Yes, end of London beginning of London/New York session overlap. This is in the highest liquidity and volume times daily of trading Forex, which is from 10 pm to 10 am PST/USD time or from Tokyo end to London end.
4) Right Time? Yes, both USD and CAD are trading during New York session and London/New York overlapping session .
Using a Fib retracement and/or Fib retracement extension is great for setting targets, depending how deep initial retracement or reversal goes back into break out zone.
This set up would have been a great trade: 1:3.5 Risk/Reward setup or (10 pips/35 pips). Have patience and let trade work. You can only control when you enter and exit a trade- rest is up to price action.
Day Trading With Fibonacci Extension (Sell)Example of using Fibonacci Extension to day trade with: EurNzd 15 minute time frame today:
1) Right Pair? Yes, EurNzd during both London and London/New York overlapping sessions. (Both Gbp and Eur pairs are great r/t being in session). Have high liquidity and volume.
2) Right Price? Yes, Enter sell at 1.69500 with stop at 1.16950 (15 pip stop).
3) Right Session? Yes, During London session and London/New York overlapping session.
4) Right Time? Yes, after break out of price action and return back into golden zone (38%-62% area) of Fib. retracement area.
NOTE: Waiting for the initial break of range or sideways price action and return back into the golden zone of Fib. retracement area gives you one of the safest and best risk and reward set ups in day trading Forex. This one was 1: 2 Risk/Reward setup (15 pip risk/stop/30 pip reward/profit).
Fibonacci 101Fibonacci retracements follow a mathematical principle set forth by Leonardo Fibonacci.
To put it simply - each level is a ratio between two other numbers, and there are countless examples of them being respected in the stock market, forex, crypto, commodities - you name it. For this reason, it's an essential tool in the technical trader's toolbox.
There are many uses for this tool:
Finding regions of support or resistance
Helping with stop loss placement
Establishing targets to take profit - especially during price discovery (no existing S/R levels)
Rules of Thumb
While placement of your anchor points is somewhat subjective - a rule of thumb is to stick with glaringly obvious swing points .
Simple is best with this tool - one of the reasons that it works is that other traders (or trading algorithms) are watching the same regions of price as you are. No need to overcomplicate it!
For a bullish retracement (+ targets) - begin your Fibonacci at a swing low, and end it at a swing high.
For a bearish retracement (+ targets) - begin your Fibonacci at a swing high, and end it at a swing low.
Personalizing Your Settings
The way I have my Fibonacci retracement tool configured, it includes some trend-based Fibonacci extensions in the calculations as well. This can be done by opening your Fibonacci settings and adjusting the inputs. The levels I have as inputs are as follows:
0 - This is your starting point
0.236 - The shallowest retracement
0.382 - Shallow retracement
0.5 - While not a Fibonacci number, this is the midpoint of your swing
0.618 - Commonly referred to as the "Golden Pocket" - this is generally a very important region of support/resistance.
0.705 - While not a Fibonacci number, this is the midpoint between the 0.618 and 0.786 - a level that tends to see lots of activity, and is thus included in my settings.
0.786 - This is the deepest retracement before a full retrace.
1 - This is your ending point
-0.27 - While not a Fibonacci number, a very commonly used extension target during price discovery - Target #1.
-0.414 - While not a Fibonacci number, a very commonly used extension target during price discovery - Target #2.
-0.618 - This is your golden ratio - Target #3 during price discovery.
-1 - This is a 100% extension of the distance between your starting & ending point.
etc, etc - you can extend as far as you like!
Where Fibonacci extensions really shine is during price discovery - areas where there are no previous levels of support or resistance (new ATH's).
You can see on this $SPY chart - using our Fib tool on the COVID crash gave us some very accurate upside targets for the subsequent rally into new ATH's.
I hope this introduction to the Fibonacci Retracement tool on TradingView helped you develop a basic understanding of it's applications - make sure to like if you learned something and follow us for more!
Will, OptionsSwing Analyst