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Fibonacci

DXY (US DOLLAR INDEX) LONG BIASIf Dollar Index Weakens XXX/USD goes up. If Dollar Index Strengthens XXX/USD does down. Looking at DXY I can see a Reversal Pattern form inside the box with a Pin Bar, Doji and what looks to be a Bearish Engulfing Candle. However, the market is uptrending & this could easily be a retest on 98.00 for a continuation upwards to fulfill the -0.27% extension. Plan A: We have got a fair bit of USD news coming out in 5 hours following this week will be NFP and Client Sentiments show that the vast majority of Retail-Traders are Shorting the USD and Longing XXX/USD, So I choose to observe the masses and do the opposite which is have a long Bias on USD...Also I dislike going against the trend of the market;) Plan B: I will not be looking to Short the USD unless there is a clear break of the Counter-Trend line. Targets at -0.27%
TVC:DXYEducation
by Lm7ee
"Pulse'' of an asset times Fibonacci: Bitcoin near Impulse ReduxThis is part of my ongoing series "Pulse of an Asset times Fibonacci". An "Impulse" in any market creates "Ripples" like a Pebble into Water. Sometimes a Wave returns to the Impulse, should be observed carefully. This Impulse was the drop from 7400 over six months ago. Its Ripples marked almost every turn in price since that time. The Wave has since walked back up the same staircase near top. 1.618-1.236 Band will be first line of defense for the Bears of the Impulse. 0.618-0.382 Band will be the "Core" of the Impulse with maximum power. 1.0 and 0.0 Boundaries of the Impulse are also worth watching closely. Rejection from Outer Defense is expected but may return. Penetration of Impulse Boundary should be scary for Bears. Penetration of Impulse Core means ultra-confident Bulls. . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. Confluence of 2 is Dependable. Congruence of 3 is Respectable. Coincidence of 4 is Worshipable. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
4
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: Tron revists Impulse ?Part of my ongoing series to observe certain Price Action events. An "Impulse" creates "Ripples" like when a Pebble falls into Water. The Ripples make up the "Wave" which eventually ends and recedes. As the Wave recedes, it will collide with Ripples in opposite direction. If the Wave returns to Impulse, that is an event worth close scrutiny. As the Wave gets closer, each turn in price provides a clue to the future. Are the Buyers of the Impulse still there? Are they eager to jump in earler this time? Are they exhausted and abandoned the core? The above example is part of this collection of "Impulse Redux" events: Examples of my General concept of "Pulse of an Asset" started here: Further detailed examples of the General Concept in "Chapter 2": Lastly here is another collection of a specific occurance, the "9.618 Murderer of Moves":
Education
by EuroMotif
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: WTC returns to ImpulseThis is part of my ongoing study of assets that "Return to the Impulse". An impulse occurs from a large sell/buy force applied for limited time. If re-visited, Impulse usually rejects at boundary or core of .382-.618. This was an perfect example of the .618 rejecting, TWICE. On second attempt it rejected even before being touched. Maybe a third attempt will give us yet more learning events. Many analysts use previous Tops or Bottoms are Support/Resistance. That method relies on the START of an impulse, but is rarely revisited. With a properly marked Imuplse, we can see the EXACT area of interest. Here is "Impulse Redux" collection the above belongs in: (scroll to see Updates) Here is the original "Pulse of an asset" collection: Here is a collection of ''Beware the 9.618" events:
WEducation
by EuroMotif
1
Let's get freaky with Gann Box Analysis and Time CyclesI have decided to help make a more in-depth analysis covering CSE:LHS since the stock is fairly new. The chart above is where we are currently sitting, which is on the bear side of the gann box but we will get into that later. How I start drawing Gann Boxes: Use the dynamic Gann box tool and draw from high to low or low to high; Configure the settings to show only 1 & 0.5, set all others to zero and turn angles on. Things to remember about Gann's time cycles: Days of interest and should be watched are significant days in a given solar year. Any of the solstices and equinox's (Dec 22, March 21, June 21, Sept 23) and their important angles which are in increments of 15 from these days. This means that 15 days after these significant days in a solar year. Gann used degrees in a circle to compute cycle lengths. The 360 degree in a circle is approximately the same as 365 days in a year. So he used 180 (half a circle), 90 (a quarter of a circle), 45 (1/8 of a circle), 135 (90+35), etc. He also used eights of 90 for shorter cycles to calculate the trading days in a cycle. 1/8 of 90 is 11.25 days, 2/8 is 22.50 days, 3/8 is 33.75 and 4/8 is 45 days. 5/8 is 56.25, 3/4 is 67.50, 7/8 is 78.75 and 8/8 is 90. If we round these numbers we trading day counts of 11, 22, 34, 45. 67, 79, 90. Step 1: Draw the first Gann Box from Low to High so an entry point can be established on the pullback. Step 2: Clone the Gann Box over to find entry once a support line is reached on one of the increasing angles about the 45 deg line. I use other indicators to confirm entries and exits. In the chart below we can see support is reached on Dec 13, 2017, but MACD hasn't come close to crossing. The actual breakout is on Dec 28, 2017, when we see strong RSI, Stoch crossover and MACD crossover to confirm entry. Oddly enough this date is shortly after the Winter Solstice which Gann says is a date to watch for. Digging further we see a high made when it reaches one of the trading cycle counts of 23 which is right after the 22nd degree. Step 3: The cycle has ended with The Box now broken and invalid since the creation of a new all-time high. We can expect an inflection point here and we can now redraw the Gann Box from the low to this new high. Oddly enough this Gann box has a cycle of 77 trading days and if we look above at the important dates we are pretty close to Gann's cycle. As you can see we break the bottom of the box and again have to redraw the box to establish a new position if we can see movement onto the bull side of the box. Step 4: Since the creation of the new box and cloning the box over we can see a few things. We begin with the inflection upward along the strong trend line which is confirmed by rising RSI and Stoch crossover. However, this rally doesn't last since we soon break down into the bull side and consolidates until we reach a new ultimate low. Step 5: Since the Gann Box has become invalid once breaking through the bottom we can now redraw a new dynamic Gann box which end's up being our most current. From here we will analyze this one a little bit further. We can see a few things after we create a new box. We have reached an inflection point where a rally starts moving and continues along the bull side of the box. An entry here is promising since the indicators are confirming a strong trend is imminent. Eventually, we break below the 45-degree angle and enter into the bear side where a trade would be closed. If we look at this pullback we can see that it hits an area of support when we apply Fibonacci. We eventually break below the 1x1 angle but are able to make a nice gain should we choose to. Present Day Look: Pay attention to where the close is relative to the angles and what the indicators are telling us. Looks like we are on the bear side of the box with a weak trend and the indicators do not look promising. Well, that is it for me on this. Tell me what you guys think, don't be afraid to start a conversation with me if you have charts and ideas to share.
LEducation
by UnknownUnicorn3275974
5
Basics special edition. The 4 kind of support.Can you tell from the chart what the main 3 supports are? :) A- Horizontal lines. The price has a tendency to react to these lines... Every one knows about horizontal lines of support and resistance. These horizontal supports and resistances have to be drawn on swings high/low. Wicks or closes can be used... Here are a few examples: B- Diagonal lines Another type of support, alot of people do not like this because they don't understand it "Uuuh trendlines are a scam when I hit my head on a wall then buy on the line for no reason other than the line I don't make money". Very good like horizontal levels. Wicks or closes can be used... Here are a few examples: C- 0.618 An important one, I think especially with currencies but I am not sure about that. Drawn from swing low to swing high. Alot of people look at it and think it matters, hence it does. Here are a few examples: D- Other Those were the big 3. Horizontal lines, Diagonal lines, 0.618. I only like the 3 and ignore the rest. Other elements can be used, such as moving averages, psychological round numbers, and I don't know what else that's it I would say. Here are a few examples: These are the basics that every one should know, but very few actually do. And they go risk 10% per trade not even knowing this lol. Good luck being in the 9%. Of course, there is more to it than this, these levels can be relevant or not, drawing lines (a & b and even C sometimes) is more a skill than an "exact science" you can just automate. How to look at the correct supports and ignore the bad ones? What conditions to enter? Where to enter and stop loss and target? How to draw them correctly each time? This is for me to know and you to find out :)
TVC:GOLDEducation
by MrRenev
The "Pulse" of an asset times Fibonacci: Golden Ratio of GrowthLTC in a perfect example of "Golden Ratio of Growth". Each extension is 1.618 times the previous extension. Most things in Nature which Grow, do so by this Ratio. Impulse was from the Bottom of Despair. Ripples were all grown with perfect Ratio. Retraces will be of much similar proportions. . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. Confluence of 2 is Dependable. Congruence of 3 is Respectable. Coincidence of 4 is Worshipable. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
COINBASE:LTCUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
1
The ''Pulse'' of an asset times Fibonacci: BNB return to ImpulseMy basic theory: every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. Perfect example of asset's "Return to Impulse". Sellers of the 1st Impulse apparently still there. Reflection from 1st Impulse created 2nd Impulse. Now we might be returing to the 2nd Impulse. Each Impulse zone has an outer defense layer. Each Impulse has a Core with maximum energy. What happens near an Impulse gives clues. If outer defense holds, Impulse is very strong. If core is breached, the Impulse may be dead. . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. Confluence of 2 is Dependable. Congruence of 3 is Respectable. Coincidence of 4 is Worshipable. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
Education
by EuroMotif
2
Market's MemoryOne of the main reasons that Price Action works so well is because the market has a memory. Here, I have studied the price behavior of Pilgrim's Pride and its relations to the Fibonacci levels. Ever since the start of this ticker in the exchange, the price has indicated sensitivity to the 50% Fibonacci level after a strong bearish move ends. In other words, whenever there was a strong bearish move and the stock bottomed and began to rise, it reached or came close to the 50% Fibonacci level only to move down thereafter. This is precisely the case if the price retraces up to the 38.2% level after the previous downward move. This is repeated twice; June 2012 and May 2016. In both cases, the price has a very strong downward momentum. Eventually, when the downward momentum ends, the price begins to move upwards. It passes the 38.2% Fibonacci, comes close or even touches the 50% Fibonacci, and moves downward right after. The bearish move the follows pushes the price as low as the 23.6% Fib. All this said, how can we generate some money from this? The following is my trading style for this observation. In the case the same scenario is forming, I will first wait for the price to pass the 38.2% Fib and keep watching until the price touches or comes close to 50% Fib. At this point, I will use the Awesome Oscillator as my trigger. Whenever the color of the AO changes to red, I will open a short position considering other parameters of my trading methodology (i.e. Money Management). I believe the same scenario is about to form for another time. I will definitely keep watching the stock for any trading opportunity and I will post if something emerged.
NASDAQ:PPCEducation
by UnknownUnicorn2339202
The ''Pulse'' of an asset times Fibonacci: Tron's trip to Band 2TRX with a gorgeous example of Force verus Mass. Impulse was confirmed early by Pings at 1.236/.618 Momentum being lost was confirmed below the 6.236 . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
Education
by EuroMotif
OCN-BTC Shows Bull run in Near TermBITTREX:OCNBTC shows massive potential of bull run in a short to mid run on the basis of our studies as carried out by analysing few of the very considerable variables/financial indicators along with project development and OCN'S listings and other significant upcoming events that might affect its price to a little. However we only focus on financial side and sadly OCN has not shown any viable progress in project development in past months but still the coin shows impressive potential to growth aside from all of this OCN is on high buying this week. On the Basis of historical Trend Data Aroon EMA MCAD Elliot Combo Waves analysis Trend based Fibonacci and a major project update in form of DAPPS, recently released under OCDAPP furthermore OCN's policy of monthly snapshot we can clearly witness witness bullish cap coming in which is expected to form between 75-80 sats once this price target has been achieved we are clear to go with more bulls and form a position to accumulate more and more by sensible trading. Our study also also suggests BITTREX:OCNBTC crossing 110 in mid term. its a good coin to HODL and trade with caution. tip: if you keeping a big amount of OCN you must register for OCNP airdrop. Note: This post should not be taken as a trade advice it was posted for educational purposes only. Sometimes you Earn the Other times you Learn.... Happy Trading
OEducation
by CognitoBTC
Surprise! How to use fib correctly. Log fib!In a previous idea I said if it got 50 likes I would post a surprise. I think they don't want you to know... Some people might already know this but I know for a fact the vast majority does not. I hope this does not stop working now that I share it. I have plenty of other strats and if markets evolve and 1 strat stops working I know I'll be the first to evolve so I do not even mind. Now how to draw the log fib? You simply use "Fib channel" and voila. I think it is supposed to be a fib that gets drawn diagonally, but unlike the regular fib it scales with log. So it can be diverted from its main purpose and used this way. Some examples: It looks like the stock market retraces have been more shallow since investors have been telling people to buy & hold. Didn't stop billionaires from being made. On something that went up 10 years, +600%, like gold I am not sure which one is best. On really big moves it has to be the log one obviously. You can only see the top 10% on the linear chart and most of it is too smal because of the exponential rise. Amazon is a good example. I am not saying this works 100% of the time & don't go all in. There are not a whole lot of really large moves so not a huge sample size to work with. Since crypto has no intrisic value and most importantly is highly manipulated I expect this to keep working perfectly until the crypto cow is entirely milked and there is nothing left in. Crypto is still at a 150 billion market cap, at under 25 billion they might think it's not worth their time anymore. Since miners might bail out (I heard they were doing it little by little) and wash trading / ponzi exchanges are going to exit scam, it could only work once more and then suddenly end. Crypto was nice and all when it was only made up of noobs, but in 2017 the sophisticated crowd joined and they are interested in cold hard cash, not imaginary money they won't ever be able to cash out of and transform into real concrete money (since it has negative sum rate & no value). I wish I knew about it earlier and had money to spare. But we almost all have to deal with getting so close to making huge returns and just miss it by a hair. Those that accepted it have been able to move forward, and we can grow (as fast as our mightly lords the regulators that control our lives will allow). Those that are still in denial and cannot accept they missed their chance to buy early / cash out at the top, are stuck and will get milked to the last drop (until crypto is small enough the whales ignore it & they'll keep coming any time it grows). As a conclusion; when you look at really big timeframes / or moves of maybe 1000% in a short time, use the log fib ==> This is how you do it on tradingview. Until next bubble ;)
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by MrRenev
2
US30 Inverted Head&ShouldersReally simple set up, training your eye to spot these patterns in my opinion is essential for developing consistency with your trades. After seeing the reversal, which using the 1H and especially 4H makes these easier to spot. You can see where the left shoulder has formed, aligning with the right shoulder on the 61.8 level. Other than that, we notice the area was not only previous support, but resistance. This liquidity indicates an interest for movement around this level. The rest is all price action and patience.
TVC:US30Education
by Jmaxfx
GOLD - Daily - Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1GOLD has a correlation to the strength of USD, as a risk-off asset investors seek haven in the event of Dollar weakness (USD falls > GOLD rises). I'm sure there's more to it than that, be sure to check it out online for yourself. Comments The Daily timeframe is looking very clean when it comes to price action. Having formed bearish MACD Divergence between 4th January - 20th Feb, we have since seen this break down on the the lower timeframes. What concerns me about shorting this just now though is the Daily 50 EMA which seems to be propping up price at the region of 1300. This is the same region we had a minor rejection on the Weekly timeframe too. The two red arrows highlight the potential for 2 shoulders, one left and one right, which could be an indication of a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern forming. This adds a lot of confluence to our overall bearish sentiment, and could be the markings of further consolidation which we referred to in the earlier lessons. A double top on the Daily would be a prime signal for a sell-off cascading up the higher timeframes. This may not happen if we see more selling pressure. Let's see what this next week brings! Key Note Head & Shoulders patters can be traded as is or used for overall market sentiment. In their nature, they are consolidation / reversal formations.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDEducation
by robdee4x
DXY - Monthly - Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1Continuing with another episode of Multi-Timeframe Analysis Series 1, I'd like to break down the DXY. The DXY being weighted as follows: EUR - 57.6% JPY - 13.6 % GBP - 11.9% CAD - 9.1% SEK - 4.2% CHF - 3.6% As you may imagine, there's a lot more interest in using the DXY for a correlation / confluence tool when trading the EURUSD. The EURO equates to over half of the overall weight of the index, meaning there's a majority interest in the EUR vs USD. We can use this to our advantage, alongside the USDOLLAR INDEX, to add positive or negative trade factors when considering positions across USD pairs and commodities. Comments Looking at the Monthly timeframe we appear to be stalling between the 61.8% retracement of A>B as indicated on the chart. Price is showing high test candles at this level, as well as a potential rolling double top (continuation formation). Given the circumstances of this in its current form, 94.00 could easily be on the cards as we move into the second quarter of 2019. Key Note At time of writing this, it's the current monthly candle cannot be considered an indication of direction just yet as it hasn't fully formed (being the 24th of the month).
TVC:DXYEducation
by robdee4x
3
PKR-USD Chart shows that Pakistani Rupee has massively DeclinedFX_IDC:PKRUSD Chart shows that the relationship between FX_IDC:PKRUSD have gone stronger. PKR has declined massively in past 12 months as per our analysis covering the Tenure of March 2018 to 2019 the period of May to July has shown massive Decline. Perhaps Bailout packages and friendly aid can might help the graph go upwards to a few bars, However the mainstream idea remains bearish against USD as IMF loan approches near we should expect more depreciation to PKR. The chart shows a little potential gains between 0.0071xx and 0.0073xx However it doesn't seems Promising enough to attract investors. Current Oscillators are highly on red side the buying orders for rupee are almost zero and if this trend keeps moving forward in next days we can expect a downard hit to 0.0065xx.. so plan wisely Sometimes you Earn the other times you learn. happy trading
Education
by CognitoBTC
Ordered Chaos: "every Wave born from Impulse". What if Revisited Impulse = strong continuous force for a limited amount of time. When there is a return to Impulse, it is a critical zone to watch. Rejection from, Penetration of, or Traversal through are clues. . . Ordered Chaos every Wave is born from Impulse, like a Pebble into Water. every Pebble bears its own Ripples, gilded of Ratio Golden. every Ripple behaves as its forerunner, setting the Pulse. each line Gains its Gravity. each line Tried and Tested. each line Poised to Reflect. Confluence of 2 is Dependable. Congruence of 3 is Respectable. Coincidence of 4 is Worshipable. every Asset Class behaves this way. every Time Frame displays its ripples. every Brain Chord rings these rhythms. He who Understands will be Humble. He who Grasps will observe the Order. He who Ignores will behold only Chaos. Ordered Chaos . . . want to Learn a little More? can you Spend a few Moments? click the Links under Related.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by EuroMotif
EURJPY ideaThis one is kinda of a new one for me. The levels are not like always, but have been having some trouble with jpy pairs, so here is to something new. -On the daily, the price has bounced from the 61% fib lvl, leaving us a higher target -The price has been uptrending this days -Bounced from a monthly level -emas crosed bullish I think, that the price might rebound from the next resistance, but if we break it, i think there is a break and retest and posible entry there to get at least to the next resistance. IF the next resistance gets broken i think the same might occur, but if not, i think it might range a bit, but we'll see depending on the price action.
Education
by J_layseca