Mastering Fibonacci ChannelsFibonacci Channel: A Tool for Identifying Potential Trend Levels
The Fibonacci Channel is a powerful technical analysis tool that advanced traders use to identify potential support and resistance levels within a trend. This tool is particularly useful in trending markets, such as Forex and equities, to gauge price movement and pinpoint strategic entry and exit points.
The Fibonacci Channel consists of a series of parallel lines plotted using Fibonacci ratios (such as 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, etc.). These lines help traders mark key areas within a price trend that could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
How to Use the Fibonacci Channel
1. Identify Start and End Points: Begin by identifying the start and end points of a trend that you want to analyze.
2. Draw the Channel Lines: Next, draw a trendline between the two points. The Fibonacci levels are then plotted as parallel lines above and below this trendline, helping traders visualize potential levels for price to reach or retrace.
3. Interpret the Lines: The plotted Fibonacci levels act as potential areas of support and resistance, providing traders with strategic points for entry or exit. For example, price movement reaching the 0.618 level often suggests a high probability of either reversal or trend continuation.
Using the Fibonacci Channel allows you to take advantage of market psychology embedded in these ratios, helping you make more informed decisions in a trend-driven market.
Fibonacci
How my chart look, using (S)&(R) with OrbFib. Open~Close.When Market open:
1) wait 5min close to draw Orb Fibonacci(0%,0.5%1.0%,1.5%,2%)
wait 15min to close to draw Orb Fib.
2) Keep looks for (S) anf (R) to draw after 5min&15min candles close.
3)use (Support)&(Resistance) from your "drawing" and (Support)&(Resistance) from "Orb Fib" levels to CALCULATE your Risk to decide where is to enter trade.
Sniping tips: Entry signal look for (S) or (R) pullback rejection by bouncing the level of (S)/(R),
Reason is bc it show solid respect to that specific (S) or (R).ITo me it's an area that Price is not ready to break over/under yet.
That will allow you time use that current new (S)/(R) rejection entry to aim that prev (S)/(R)!
and Possibly break out of that too, just make sure you are following the bigger picture trend!
Pulse of an Asset via Fibonacci: NDX at ATH Impulse Redux"Impulse" is a surge that creates "Ripples", like a pebble into water.
"Impulse Redux" is returning of wave to the original source of energy.
"Impulse Core" is the zone of maximum energy, in the Golden Pocket.
Are the sellers still there? Enough to absorb the buying power?
Reaction at Impulse is worth observing closely to gauge energy.
Rejection is expected on at least first approach if not several.
Part of my ongoing series to collect examples of my Methodology: (click links below)
Chapter 1: Introduction and numerous Examples
Chapter 2: Detailed views and Wave Analysis
Chapter 3: The Dreaded 9.618: Murderer of Moves
Chapter 4: Impulse Redux: Return to Birth place <= Current Example
Chapter 5: Golden Growth: Parabolic Expansions
Chapter 6: Give me a ping Vasili: one Ping only
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Ordered Chaos
every Wave is born from Impulse,
like a Pebble into Water.
every Pebble bears its own Ripples,
gilded of Ratio Golden.
every Ripple behaves as its forerunner,
setting the Pulse.
each line Gains its Gravity.
each line Tried and Tested.
each line Poised to Reflect.
every Asset Class behaves this way.
every Time Frame displays its ripples.
every Brain Chord rings these rhythms.
He who Understands will be Humble.
He who Grasps will observe the Order.
He who Ignores will behold only Chaos.
Ordered Chaos
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want to Learn a little More?
can you Spend a few Moments?
click the Links under Related.
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How I use ORB with Fibonacci Retracement to find (R) and Target.This video will explain how to draw FIB on ORB to find potential resistances and target.
Setting style of Fibonacci Retracement for first target 2.0%: (0%, 0.5%, 1.0%, 1.5%, 2.0%)
extension for Fib is to add another +1.5% incrament to Frist Target of 2.0%. (....2.0%. 2.5%, 3.0%, 3.5%)
Unlock Market Targets with Fibonacci: Precise Entries & Exits Hey there! In this video, I’ll walk you through how I use the 50% and 100% Fibonacci levels to get a clear sense of where the market might move next. It’s a simple, no-fuss approach that helps me trade with more confidence—without cluttering my charts with tons of indicators.
The projection marks where a move might wrap up—perfect for deciding when to exit or take profits. Whether you’re into forex, crypto, or stocks, this strategy can keep things simple and effective.
If you found this helpful, feel free to like, boost, comment, or follow—I’d love to know your thoughts and hear how this method works for you!
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
Fibonacci Retracements: Finding Key Levels the Easy WayIn this video, I’ll walk you through how I use Fibonacci retracements to spot those key pullback levels where price might bounce and keep trending. It all comes from an old-school math genius named Leonardo of Pisa (aka Fibonacci), but don’t worry – no crazy math here, just practical trading tools.
The main levels I focus on? 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. IF price holds at one of these levels, THEN it’s a good sign the trend could keep going. IF NOT, THEN I stay ready for a deeper pullback. Using this tool helps me stay ahead and manage trades with more confidence.
Your Turn:
Here’s a fun exercise – draw Fibonacci retracements on different timeframes, from the weekly all the way down to the 5-minute chart. Check how the levels overlap or line up. Those overlaps, or confluences, are where some of the best trades happen!
If this clicks with you, hit like, drop a comment, or follow – I’ll keep sharing more tips to help you crush the markets!
Mindbloome Trading
Trade What You See
3 Technical Analysis Tools to Identify Resistance Levels on GOLD
How to trade Gold when it is constantly setting new all-time highs?
When Gold is trading beyond historical levels, technical analysis can help you to identify the next potentially strong resistance levels.
In this article, I will teach you the only 3 technical analysis tools you need to find the next key resistances and predict future correctional movements on Gold chart.
Tool 1 - Trend Line
The first technical analysis tool that will help you to identify a potentially strong resistance is a trend line based on previous highs.
Simply analyze the previous historic highs and try to find a trend line that was respected by the market at least 3 times in the past.
It means that such a trend line should be based at least on 3 historic highs.
Look at that rising trend line on Gold on a daily time frame. It is based on 3 historic highs, and it can be a potentially strong resistance.
Tool 2 - Psychological Levels
The second technical analysis tool is psychological levels.
These levels are based on round, whole numbers.
In our example, the closest psychological level is 2500 level. This level is based on round numbers, it is a multiple of 500 and 100.
It can compose a potentially strong resistance cluster.
Tool 3 - Fibonacci Levels
The third technical analysis tool is Fibonacci extension and confluence.
In order to identify a potentially strong resistance with Fibonacci extension, you should identify at least 3 last bullish impulses/waves.
Above is the example of 3 significant impulse legs on Gold chart on a daily.
Draw Fibonacci Extension levels based on these 3 impulse legs.
Here are important Extension levels to consider:
-1.272
-1.414
- 1.618
Above, you can see how I draw Fibonacci Extension levels based on all the impulse legs that we identified.
Your task is to identify the point where the extension levels of 3 impulses match in one point. Such a point will be called confluence zone.
This confluence zone will be the next potentially strong resistance.
These 3 technical tools helped us to identify the resistances beyond all historical levels easily.
Remember that there is no 100% guarantee that all the resistances that we spotted will be respected by the market.
For that reason, you should strictly analyze a price action and a reaction of the price to these levels before you open a short trade.
Alternatively, remember that these resistances can be applied as the targets for long trades.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Trend Based Fib Extension (PRO HACK) SUPPORT & RESISTANCE is one of the most important key elements in trading.
Without knowing the key Support & Resistance levels, you will never have a true understanding of where the market could go to or reverse from.
One very important factor worth knowing is the markets overall, trend Support & Resistance levels. While there are a lot of different methods in finding these levels, like pivot points, previous day high and low, or monthly or yearly and so on. One of the most promising, tried and tested ways is to use a Fibonacci Tool.
Now YES, there are MANY Fibonacci Tools to choose from and use but if you need to know the fib levels for a trend, use the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION.
Along with using the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION, you need to know the correct time frame to actually plot this tool on.
There is no right or wrong time frame nor is there no right or wrong way in plotting this tool, BUT we need to know and understand the overall picture of the market as a whole and if you are thinking about the market as a whole, we need to use the correct time frame to show us that.
So we turn to the 12M TIME FRAME!
The 12M Time Frame is what's going to show us the OVERALL TREND of the asset we are looking at, from the start right to current time.
Now keep in mind that this can work on EVERY SINGLE ASSET.
We use the 12M time frame because we need to plot the trend base fib extension to show us our MAJOR FIBONACCI SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS. These levels are for the OVERALL TREND OF THE GIVEN ASSET. By plotting it this way we actually have an idea as to where the market is going LONG TERM.
So head over to whichever asset you are tracking, choose the 12M time frame and make your chart large enough to fit the screen.
In order to plot this tool, you need to know your highs and lows because this tool is used from your lowest point to the first swing high and down to your next swing low, once those 3 are connected the tool will automatically plot your levels.
One easy way to find your swing highs and lows is to use a ZIGZAG with a length of either 1 or 2. That setting will give you the most accurate points.
In the drawing tool box you can you the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION tool, once you select it and you know where your 3 points are then you plot it accordingly, you will start from your Lowest, to your Swing High and then down to your Swing Low.
To get accurate plots, use the data window and get the exact low and high prices and enter the accordingly into the fib tool settings (coordinates tab).
Adjust your settings with your style preferences, the fib levels that you want to see on your chart, and once done, lock the tool in place and BOOM, YOU NOW HAVE YOUR MAJOR ALL TIME SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS PLOTTED ON YOUR CHART.
Now you have a full understanding on the market overall trend by knowing where the major support and resistance levels are.
You can go back to your lower time frame in which you trade from and now you will have a much clearer understanding as to where the market might stop or reverse from, according to the bigger picture.
With that in place, you can use other methods of confluence to get entries, set stops, find direction, you can even go down to lower time frames to use a Fibonacci retracement tool or the trend based fib extension to get sniper entries and set targets.
The key takeaway from this is for you to know the overall direction of the market you are trading and to know where potential areas of support and resistances are which leads to the major reversals in the market.
I do hope this publication helps you in some way or another, even if it helped just 1 person out of many, I will be glad.
HAPPY TRADING :)
==if you have any questions then please drop a comment, thanks==
How I stopped strategy hopping by creating my own strategyIn the fast-paced world of trading, many of us, especially when beginning our journey, we find ourselves caught in a relentless cycle of strategy hopping. We jump from one strategy to another, lured by the promise of quick profits. However, this constant shifting often leads to frustration, a sense of not making any progress, and most importantly, a lack of consistent results.
I experienced this firsthand as I back-tested, forward-tested, and executed various trading systems, on demo and live accounts, each time hoping for better outcomes but always ending up not meeting expectations and feeling more or less stuck in the same position of having to find a profitable trading strategy. Eventually, after having tried many different systems that I found online, I decided to finally try to create my own and this time stick to a single system for a prolonged period of time.
This idea/publication explores my journey on how I created this simple trading strategy and how I used my engineering background to create a semi automated-trading system around it. And just to clarify, this is not financial advice, this should serve as an idea. If you want to try this out, do so at your own risk, after understanding the concept and after testing. I’m still testing this myself, but in theory it’s sound, and so far in my forward-testing is performing very well!
Scalping, Day trading, Swing trading, Fibonacci levels, Support/Resistance levels, round psychological levels, Bollinger bands, EMAs, RSI, MACD, ICT, Smart money concepts, algo-trading, forex, crypto, indices, metals, multi-timeframe analysis, etc, etc.
I’ve traded in these timeframes: D, 8h, 4h, 2h, 1h, 30m, 15m, 5m, 1m, and I’ve explored quite a few different strategies based on the concepts I just dumped above so I don’t bore you with every single case, and so based on that experience I’m taking a few considerations before creating my strategy.
First, I’ll be trading forex, metals, and maybe crypto and indices. Personal choice. But there’s no reason this shouldn’t work in any other market.
Second, I personally need to be more consistent on when it comes to analyzing the charts. So, for now let’s say that I’ll “log-in” every day, Monday-Friday, some amount of time during NY session.
Third, I’ve learned that multi-timeframe analysis is better than analyzing only one specific timeframe, so I’ll include that.
Next, I know there are different approaches, but from my perspective the market is either trending or not trending (aka consolidating; bouncing between two levels, imperfectly). I guess it’d be great to have one strategy for trending markets and one for markets that are in consolidation, but for now I’m specifically picking a trend-following strategy.
I found that following the trend can be very rewarding, especially when you catch it from the start or near it and are able to exit right before it ends (that’s the tricky part, but we’re only talking theory for now). So a totally reasonable idea would be to try to enter the market on pull-backs, while expecting the price to continue in the direction of the main trend. So a Fibonacci retracement tool sounds ideal for this method.
I’d like to somehow incorporate algo-trading up to some extent. I have a software engineering background, so it comes natural for me to try to create or adjust an existing trading bot to execute operations for me. But the issue I always had was creating a trading bot to spot good opportunities. It is just not easy to achieve, for any trading strategy. And that is because of the constantly changing nature of the markets. It requires subjectivity by a human to some extent when it comes to reading, understanding the market and predicting a direction.
💡 So with that said, now, two very important ideas I realized that this system exploits.
1. You don’t need to know exactly up to where price is going to retrace to on the Fibonacci tool. You can bet on more than one level.
2. You don’t need to create a trading bot that “fully” automates trading. It can only handle the part of managing the position(s).
Let me explain.
With the Fibonacci Retracement tool the trader is free to choose however many levels they want to visualize. And that is great, but it’s not easy to predict accurately and consistently up to which level price is going to retrace. We might miss some trades if we bet on a bigger pull-back and price continues on the trend without hitting our entry, or, we might experience some losses if we bet on a smaller pull-back and price decides to retrace more, and then continue on the same trend direction (which is even more painful to see lol). So the idea here is to place more than one order based on a few different fib levels. Managing more than one position can be challenging, but that’s when the next idea comes into play.
“Semi” automating the strategy with the help of a trading bot. As I mentioned previously, at least for me it has been difficult to create a trading bot that can reliably match the trading opportunities that I would find. Sometimes the bot would find good opportunities, but some other times it would find opportunities that wouldn’t make sense to take because of other reasons (price close to some Support/Resistance level, news, different direction on higher timeframes, etc) and if all of those reasons were taken into account that would increase the complexity of the code and most of the time the actual opportunities found by the bot would decrease (including the good ones!). So it’s a trade-off.
On the other hand, managing the position(s) is totally doable for a trading bot. Managing one or more open positions or pending orders is done after confirming a trading opportunity, so a trading bot can do precisely what a human would do based on the same conditions. And creating that kind of bot is not that complicated to achieve.
So with all of that in mind I started writing some rules for the trading strategy.
Timeframe for entries: 15m
Multi-timeframe analysis: D, 4h, 1h, 15m
I’ll be spotting opportunities around NY session open
I’ll need a trading bot to manage the positions for me so I don’t stare at the charts for too long (not because I don’t want to, but because apart from having other things to do it wouldn’t improve the outcome! + that the trading bot is much better at handling its emotions :wink)
I’ll focus on EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD first and maybe later I’ll apply this strategy to other markets.
Let’s focus for a bit on the fib tool and the positions for now. The screenshot below shows the levels that I’m using. And for now I’m just betting on 3 positions. Again, managing more than one position can be tricky, but I’m relying on the fact that a trading-bot can help us in this part which is easy for the bot to handle. And apart from that we only have one position open at a time so it’s not actually that hard as it might sound if we don’t want to use a trading bot.
Of course no system is perfect, so losses are expected. But I’m positioning myself in a way that my wins will cover my losses and give me good profit. In consequence, risk management is very important. With every bet or fibonacci tool I place and open X positions (in this case 3) I want to make sure that in total I’m not risking more than 0.5% of my total account balance. This part depends on the trader, some traders can tolerate bigger draw-downs, and so they can risk more % per position, others risk less, I personally like 0.5% for now.
At the time of writing this I’m testing with the following risks:
Position 1 (2.3R if TP hit): 0.10% of the account balance
Position 2 (3.6R if TP hit): 0.18% of the account balance
Position 3 (4.2R if TP hit): 0.22% of the account balance
With those positions placed these things can happen:
1. Price doesn’t retrace enough to trigger any of the pending orders and continues in the same direction of the trend. In that case, when there’s a new higher high or lower low we just cancel our pending orders and analyze again to spot new opportunities.
2. Price retraces enough to hit all of our SL resulting in a loss of the 3 positions (-0.50%)
3. Only Position 1 gets triggered and we go to TP (2.3R * 0.10% = 0.23% gain)
4. Position 2 gets triggered and we go to TP (-0.10% + 3.6R * 0.18% = 0.55% gain)
5. Position 3 gets triggered and we go to TP (-0.10% - 0.18% + 4.2R * 0.22% = 0.64% gain)
Nothing to do with alternatives 1 & 2 as it’s normal for us to lose or miss an opportunity sometimes. With alternative 3 we have a small gain. And with alternatives 4 & 5 we have a slightly better gain than our total risk of 0.50%. Now all of that might not sound ver impressive and it’s because this follows the fixed position way of managing the positions. Trailing the SL many times can produce much better returns when managed properly. But more on that later.
Possible winning example below using ATR trailing SL.
But let’s stick to the fixed positions for now to understand and get used to the system first and then you can let the bot do the management with the trailing SL method. Now why those specific risk %s for those 3 positions? The reasoning is that in my recent trading I’ve noticed that price tends to retrace enough to trigger either my Position 2 or my Position 3 more often than triggering only my Position 2. So it makes more sense to me to add slightly higher risk on those to increase profit. However, in my experience, in the higher timeframes price retraces even to the 38.2% level to then continue in the same trend direction more often than on the lower timeframes.
But this part as I said depends on the trader, if you decide to incorporate this strategy/system to your trading you are free to choose different risk % per positions.
Additionally, you could even open more positions (again, relying on the trading bot for position management), and of course following a good risk management plan by adjusting the risk for all positions and sticking to a total of less than 2% risk per fib tool placement. But this also depends on the trader.
Sometimes price does like to ‘grab liquidity’ by retracing slightly more than the 100% level, hitting my last SL, and then continue on the trend direction we placed our bet on. However, I think that 3 positions is enough, at least for me, specially in the lower timeframes.
Let’s focus on the trading bot for a bit now. As I said the bot should only manage my positions so I need a way to turn it on when I spot a good opportunity and then let it run until the position hits SL or TP, or it gets closed because of another reason. In this case I developed two systems. One is with fixed SL and TP, and one is with managing the position(s) with a trailing SL. The trailing SL is based on the current ATR value, but this could be expanded even further to another method of trailing SL based on specific levels the user provides (e.g. when in 1.4R move SL to break-even, when in 2R move SL to 1R, etc).
For now I tested with fixed positions and with ATR trailing SL and they both work great and are profitable. The rules can be extended even more, for instance you choose the ATR trailing SL method and still place TP on the -27% or on the -61.8% fib levels so positions fully close on those levels, or you could close partially let’s say 30% when TP1 is hit (0% fib level) and then keep trailing, etc. There are many variations, and those can be handled by the bot based on the initial configuration.
So on how the actual trading bot works. I developed a PineScript strategy that fires alerts that I can use with a service like PineScript to execute the operations but I found that those services most of the time don’t allow managing multiple positions at once and have other complications. So I created my own webhook server that receives the alerts and I also developed an EA that receives that information and executes the operations but this is still in testing phase and is not ready for use unless you have advanced technical knowledge. I’m thinking of ways to make this available however and would love some thoughts/feedback/suggestions!
This strategy can still be applied even without a trading bot. However the trading bot would make the system much better and allow for more time to maybe analyze different markets and take on more trading opportunities, or just focus on other stuff.
So to put all of this together now we’re only missing the part of spotting the opportunities. There are different ways, I personally just look for trends. I rely on simple price action (for uptrend I want to see clear higher highs and higher lows, and for downtrend I want to see clear lower lows and lower highs), a smoothed Heikin-Ashi EMA, and sometimes on the ADX indicator to see how strong the trend is.
In the example below I show my thought process while applying this strategy on a forward-testing phase. This is exactly how I saw the chart when I logged-in for my trading session a few days ago.
In the higher timeframes I checked that there is room for price to keep going up, that means that there shouldn’t be a S/R level or round psychological level near price. Having also analyzed higher timeframes and seen that it makes sense for price to continue this uptrend I decided to place my fib tool. I usually consider wicks too. So I place the first fib limit on the higher low, and the second fib limit on the higher high.
Having placed the fib tool and created the pending orders now we need to wait for price to trigger our positions. But sometimes price is not done and keeps going up, invalidating our higher high (or lower low on a downtrend).
When that happens we just need to stay focused on when price closes to see if a new higher high has been formed. If that happens we simply update our fib tool placement, and update the pending orders (entry, SL, & TP). This is a condition that the trading bot can probably handle. Eventually price will make it clear where the higher high is, and we finally see a retracement.
And now we wait… but still focused in case we need to adjust our fib tool and pending orders if price is not yet retracing.
Price drops with a strong move. Now we just step away, we already have the positions placed with SL and TP. We did our analysis, and so we don’t need to look at the charts and let any negative emotions gain control. At this point with fixed positions we can just close the charts and give an end to this trading session. And if using the trailing SL method we just leave it to the trading bot to manage the positions. In this case I was just testing the fixed positions and it unfolded into a win for the 3rd position. So overall about a 0.64% gain (the best alternative).
So this is it. This covers the base of this strategy and my thought process while creating the rules for this system. It can be adjusted to different timezones as well, different markets depending on the asset type, etc. I’ve been forward-testing this strategy and system for a few weeks so far and it seems very promising. And I couldn’t wait any longer to share this idea in hopes that you can learn at least something from everything I shared. I’d also love to hear if anyone would be interested in using a system like this with the actual trading bot, so I can plan best on how to make it accessible to other users that don’t have technical/engineering knowledge.
In conclusion, I shared my journey from strategy hopping to creating my own trading strategy based on my own needs. By exploring the key ideas of leveraging the Fibonacci retracement tool to bet on multiple positions and embracing a semi-automated approach, I’ve developed a system that aligns with my trading style and allows for necessary flexibility in response to market changes.
If you find yourself caught in the cycle of strategy hopping, or don’t see the results you expected (be reasonable though!) I urge you to reflect on what you truly want from your trading experience. Consider creating your own strategy that aligns with your objectives and trading style! And feel free to take ideas from this article to build your own system. Share your thoughts and experiences in the comments below. I’d love to hear it, any thoughts/feedback or suggestions are appreciated. Looking forward to the discussion.
Thanks, and good luck!
Fibonacci Retracement ExplainedWhat Are Fibonacci Retracement Levels?
In simple terms, Fibonacci Retracement Levels are horizontal lines on a chart that represent price levels. These price levels help identify where support or resistance may likely occur on a chart.
Each retracement level corresponds to a specific percentage, indicating how much of a pullback has taken place from a previous high or low. These percentages are derived from the Fibonacci sequence and include 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Although not an official Fibonacci ratio, the 50% level is also commonly used.
This indicator is useful because it can be drawn between a high and a low price point, creating levels that indicate potential retracement areas between those two prices.
The basic Fibonacci Retracement amongst many trading platforms would normally look like this:
While this is okay, I would recommend changing the settings to my suggested format to improve clarity and comprehension. The revised version would look like this:
To copy this, the revised Fibonacci Retracement Settings are bellow:
By doing this, it shows you the “Golden Zone.” This spot is considered one of the most important areas because price often pulls back into this zone right before “extending” in a bullish pattern.
>>>>>NERDY INFO AHEAD<<<<<
Calculating Fibonacci Retracement Levels
The origin of the Fibonacci numbers is fascinating. They are based on something called the Golden Ratio.
This is a sequence of numbers starting with zero and one. Then, keep adding the prior two numbers to get the third number. This will eventually produce a number string looking like this:
• 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987...with the string continuing indefinitely.
Fibonacci retracement levels are derived from the Fibonacci number sequence. As the sequence progresses, dividing one number by the next number yields 0.618, or 61.8% (233 divided by 377 gives you 0.618037.
Divide a number by the second number to its right; the result is 0.382 or 38.2% (233 divided by 610 gives you 0.381967.
All these ratios, apart from 50% (which is not officially part of the Fibonacci sequence), are calculated based on relationships within this number sequence.
The golden ratio can be found in various places in nature as well. This includes spiral patterns of seashells (like nautilus shells), the arrangement of leaves on a plant stem, the petals of certain flowers, and the structure of pinecones; it's also often observed in art and architecture, such as in the proportions of the Mona Lisa and the Parthenon, where artists intentionally incorporated it for aesthetic appeal.
Now, as you can tell, the Fibonacci isn’t just some lines and numbers someone made up. It’s in everything you encounter. It’s on charts. It’s in nature. It’s in geometry. It’s even in HUMAN DNA.
Fibonacci Retracements vs. Fibonacci Extensions
Remember when I said, “price often pulls back into this zone right before extending in a bullish pattern.” ???
That’s because Fibonacci Retracement, sometimes confused with Fibonacci Extension, is the act of price level pulling back to the Golden Zone. The Fibonacci Extension is when price level continues to move in a bullish pattern after pulling back to the Golden Zone.
For example, if a stock goes from $10 to $20, then back to $13. The move from $20 to $13 is the retracement. If the price starts rallying again and goes to $30, that is the extension.
Limitations of Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels
While the retracement levels suggest potential areas for support or resistance, there’s no guarantee that the price will reverse to these levels. This is why traders often look for additional confirmation signals such as price action and patterns. A double bottom in this Golden Zone coupled with an RSI divergence is a very good indication the price will move after entering the Golden Zone.
!!!Fun Fact!!!
Fibonacci retracement levels were named after Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano Bigollo, famously known as Leonardo Fibonacci. However, Fibonacci did not create the Fibonacci sequence. Instead, Fibonacci introduced these numbers to western Europe after learning about them from Indian merchants. Some scholars suggest Fibonacci retracement levels were formulated in ancient India between 700 BCE and 100 AD, while others estimate between 480-410 BCE.2
Cheers everyone!!! Happy Trading 😊
Fibonacci: The importance of knowing how to use it properlyThe way the market moves is a fascinating Fibonacci puzzle. Whether the trend is down or up, there is a Fibonacci level waiting to be hit as a reversal and/or target.
USDJPY is shown here: This is a monthly chart. Using the Fibonacci extension from Dec 1, 1975, I've modified it to record the actually Fibonacci number past the old "1.618" to include 5, 8, 13, 21, 34. As you can see how the market respects 8, 13, especially 21 as USDJPY heads in a down trend.
As of recent price action toward the right of the chart, You'll see another a Fibonacci retracement tool used between the 13 and 21 levels of the Fibonacci extension tool. Yes, even using Fibonacci between another Fibonacci works. More importantly how Dec 1, 2023 found support at the 50% mark between 13 and 21 Fibs.
The way I use the Fibonacci extension tool is different than anyone else I've seen. I take the first impulse as the first wave. In my interpretation of a wave is all consecutive candles are the same color. The next wave is the retracement where all consecutive candles are the opposite color. Works on all timeframes and the smaller the time frame the more accurate; IE candles or wicks hit or stop on the exact Fib level.
I hope this encourages you to try Fibonacci in a way no one else has used Fibs and it gives you an edge in your trading/investing objective.
ALL ABOUT FIBONACCIFibonacci retracement levels serve as indispensable tools for evaluating retracement potential and identifying targets
This analytical scheme is most effective in market trends. In a market with an upward trend, the traders' goal is to determine the correction potential and strategically identify entry points for long positions. Conversely, in a downtrend, the focus shifts to evaluating correction potentials and tactically identifying entry points for short positions.
By utilizing Fibonacci levels with precision and insight, traders can navigate market dynamics with greater clarity and strategic foresight.
Operating rules:
●Identify the trend and work according to it
●To determine the correction potential for uptrend use the grid below up.
●To determine the correction potential for downtrend use a top-down grid.
●Find Swing High and Swing Low for correct using the tool.
1. For an uptrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from HL to HH.
After breaking the downtrend from LL to HH.
2. For a downtrend, the Fibonacci grid extends from LH to LL.
After breaking the uptrend from HH to LL.
Settings for corrective movements:
0.5 - fair price (equilibrium).
0.62; 0.705; 0.79 - OTE zone (optimal entry into a deal).
Unlike the standard values, this is a modified version with the highest mathematical expectation of price reversal.
To open a position, we are always interested in the price behavior above or below the 0.5 value.
The smart money will always look to buy at a discount and sell at a premium.
Therefore, to open a short position we always look at the price above 0.5, which is considered a premium. And to open long positions, we look at the behavior of prices below 0.5, which is considered discount prices.
The OTE zone is an extended grid that is always in the premium market when you are looking for a short position, or in the discount market when you are looking for a long position.
These levels act as an area for the optimal entry point.
Correction of the upward impulse.
Fibonacci lines themselves do not act as support or resistance levels. It is not relevant to trade only on the basis of them. The price turns from specific areas that are displayed on the chart.
Correction of the upward impulse.
The price may go beyond OTE, this does not negate the relevance of the setup, HL is still being formed in the discount market.
Correction of the upward impulse.
Not in all cases, the price corrects to the OTE zone: when it reaches the support zone at the 50% level (equilibrium) or slightly below it, a reversal may already begin, because this moment already implies the start of buying or selling with smart money.
Downward impulse correction.
Make it a rule to open positions only after a correction in the premium or discount market, and skip other opportunities.
Take profit according to Fibonacci
In order to determine where you will take profits, you can use negative values.
Settings for setting takes:
-0.27 – take 1
-0.62 – take 2
-1 – take 3 or closing the position
-1.5 / -2 – take 4
Fibonacci take
Negative Fibonacci values can be used effectively on every trade, but try to prioritize the chart to identify more precise zones where price may reverse.
Learn 7 Types of Liquidity Zones in Trading
In the today's article, we will discuss 7 main types of liquidity zones every trader must know.
Just a quick reminder that a liquidity zone is a specific area on a price chart where a huge amount of trading orders concentrate.
Read carefully, because your ability to recognize and distinguish them is essential for profitable trading.
1. Fibonacci Zones
The zones based on Fibonacci levels can concentrate the market liquidity.
Classic Fibonacci retracement levels: 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0.786
and Fibonacci Extension levels: 1,272; 1,414; 1,618 attract market participants and the liquidity.
Above, you can see an example of a liquidity zone based on 0,618 retracement level.
The reaction of the price to that Fib.level clearly indicate the concentration of liquidity around that.
Also, there are specific areas on a price chart where Fibonacci levels of different impulse legs will match.
Such zones will be called Fibonacci confluence zones.
Fibonacci confluence zones will be more significant Fibonacci based liquidity zones.
Above, is the example of a confluence zone that is based on 0,618 and 0,5 retracement levels of 2 impulses.
The underlined area is a perfect example of a significant liquidity zone that serves as the magnet for the price.
2. Psychological Zones
Psychological zones, based on psychological price levels and round numbers , quite often concentrate the market liquidity.
Look at a psychological level on WTI Crude Oil. 80.0 level composes a significant liquidity zones that proved its significance by multiple tests and strong bullish and bearish reactions to that.
3. Volume Based Zones
The analysis of market volumes with different technical indicators can show the liquidity zones where high trading volumes concentrate.
One of such indicators is Volume Profile.
On the right side, Volume Profile indicate the concentration of trading volumes on different price levels.
Volume spikes will show us the liquidity zones.
4. Historic Zones
Historic liquidity zones will be the areas on a price chart based on historically significant price levels.
Market participants pay close attention to the price levels that were respected by the market in the past. For that reason, such levels attract the market liquidity.
Above, you can see a historically significant price level on Silver.
It will compose an important liquidity zone.
5. Trend Lined Based Zones
Quite often, historically significant falling or rising trend lines can compose the liquidity zones.
Above is the example of an important rising trend line on GBPJPY pair.
Because of its historical significance, it will attract the market liquidity.
Trend lined based liquidity zone will be also called a floating liquidity area because it moves with time.
6. Technical Indicators Based Zones
Popular technical indicators may attract the market liquidity.
For example, universally applied Moving Average can concentrate huge trading volumes.
In the example above, a floating area around a commonly applied Simple Moving Average with 50 length, acts as a significant liquidity zone on EURJPY.
7. Confluence Zones
Confluence zones are the liquidity zones based on a confluence of liquidity zones of different types.
For example, a match between historic zones, Fibonacci zones and volume based zones.
Such liquidity zones are considered to be the most significant.
Look at the underlined liquidity zone on US100 index.
It is based on a historical price action, psychological level 17000, significant volume concentration indicated by volume indicator and 618 Fibonacci retracement.
Always remember a simple rule: the more different liquidity zone types match within a single area, the more significant is the confluence zone.
Your ability to recognize the significant liquidity zones is essential for predicting the market movements and recognition of important reversal areas.
Liquidity zones are the integral element of various trading strategies. Its identification and recognition is a core stone of technical analysis.
Study that with care and learn by heart all the liquidity types that we discussed today.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EWJ - How to identify a plausible targetThis idea is for investors as I'm analyzing the chart in weekly and trying to identify fair targets for a long position. First you need a donchian line which is basically the middle between the highest high and the lowest low during the last 52 weeks.
Using this donchian line (nb. which is part of Ichimoku system as SSB line), you then identify the last "cycle" which is a clear half-wave with well-defined bottoms/tops. Applying the Fibo retracement tool using the top-bottom-top (or bottom-top-bottom) points of the identified wave, you'll end up with a set of Fibonacci levels. The different levels above 1.0 can be used as price targets as shown here.
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements to Find Entry and Exit PointsAlright, traders, let’s talk about Fibonacci Retracements — the tool that’s part math, part mysticism, and all about finding those sweet spots for entry and exit. If you’ve ever wondered how seasoned traders seem to know exactly when to jump in and when to cash out, chances are they’ve got Fibonacci retracements in their toolbox (or they’re insider trading).
What Are Fibonacci Retracements?
Fibonacci Retracements are based on the famous Fibonacci sequence — a string of numbers discovered in the 1200s by the medieval Italian mathematician Leonardo of Pisa (later nicknamed Fibonacci, meaning "son of Bonacci"). The sequence of numbers starts with 1, 2, 3, 5 and grows by adding the sum of the two previous numbers.
These mystical numbers show up everywhere from pinecones and seashells to the human hand and the Apple logo and, of course, the charts. It all comes down to 61.8%, the golden child of market moves and corrections. But before you go off believing Fibonacci is some sort of market sorcerer, let’s break it down.
The Key Levels
23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6% : These are the Fibonacci retracement levels you’ll see on your chart when you whip up the Fibonacci Retracement. They’re acting as the market’s pit stops — areas where the price could take a breather or reverse altogether.
Traders use these levels to predict how far a price might pull back before resuming its trend. Put simply, it’s like finding the market’s sweet spot where it says, “Enough with the chit-chat, let’s bounce.”
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements
Identify the Trend : First, you need a clear trend — trace a price trajectory and make sure there is a well-defined and sustained move either up or down with a clear reversal at the end. No trend? No Fibonacci.
Draw the Retracement : Stretch the Fib tool from the start of the move (swing low) to the end (swing high). If the trend is up, draw from low to high. If it’s down, high to low. Watch as those golden ratios light up your chart like a Christmas tree. Now you’ve got your levels mapped out and you can easily start looking for the potential turning points.
Spot the Bounce : The series of horizontal lines on your chart — these are your Fibonacci levels, and they’re not just pretty—they’re potential support and resistance zones. When the price retraces to a Fib level, it’s decision time. Will it bounce, or will it break? The 61.8% level is the big one — the golden ratio. If the price holds there, it may be a sign that the trend could continue. If it breaks, well, it’s time to reassess. Think of it as the market’s line in the sand.
Finding Entry Points
Here’s where it gets interesting. Imagine the market’s been on a bull run, but then starts to pull back. You’re itching to buy, but where? This is where Fibonacci levels shine.
When the price retraces to a key Fibonacci level (say 38.2% or 50%), it’s like the market is pausing to catch its breath. That’s your cue to consider entering a position. You’re aiming to ride the next wave up once the market finishes its coffee break at one of these levels.
Nailing Exit Points
On the flip side, if you’re already in a trade and looking to lock in profits, those same Fibonacci levels can be your guide for exiting. If the price is approaching a key level from below, it might be time to secure your gains before the market pulls another U-turn.
For the bold and brave, you can even set your sights on the 161.8% level — this is where Fibonacci extensions come into play. It’s a target for when the market decides it’s not just going to bounce, but rocket into the stratosphere.
Pro Tip: Fib Confluence
Looking to up your game? Combine Fibonacci with other indicators like moving averages or trendlines. When multiple signals converge around a Fib level, it may be a strong confirmation that the trend could turn. Pay attention and always do your own research — fakeouts are real.
Why It Works (and Why It Doesn't)
Some say Fibonacci levels work because they’re rooted in natural mathematics. Others believe it’s a self-fulfilling prophecy because so many traders use them. And just like any strategy, it doesn’t work 100% of the time. The market has a mind of its own, and sometimes it just doesn’t care about your Fibonacci levels. But when they do work, they can give you a serious edge.
The Bottom Line
Fibonacci Retracements aren’t just a bunch of lines on a chart — they’re your reminder that maybe everything is indeed one from the universe’s perspective and there are naturally occurring patterns everywhere.
Whether you believe in the math and the or just like the results, one thing’s for sure: Fibs can give you an edge in spotting when to hold back or lean forward. So next time you’re stuck wondering when to buy or sell, try the Fibonacci.
How to measure a true range in any asset!Hello to everyone familiar with ICT concepts!
If you already understand breakers, order blocks, and the principles of price premiums and discounts, you're in the right place.
I’m excited to share some insights with you, using the FOREXCOM:EURUSD
chart from August 20th, 2024.
One challenge I've always faced is accurately measuring the true range. It often feels like price moves towards balance, finding equilibrium before moving away again. ICT's teachings on this topic can sometimes be a bit vague, especially when it comes to the details of whether to measure wicks or focus solely on candlestick bodies. However, I’ve recently made a breakthrough and discovered the key to accurately measuring a true range!
This knowledge aligns with the idea of balances, but it’s crucial to understand that when one algorithm meets another, neither has the power to deviate far from the current price. But that's not what we need to focus on.
What truly matters is identifying when the price is moving away from its current state. This method works exceptionally well during trending markets, like we’ve seen recently with #EURUSD, #GBPUSD, and other forex pairs. It’s also effective in commodities like Gold, indices such as #NQ, #YM, #ES, and even in the crypto markets!
Take yesterday's trend in EURUSD, for example. We saw a significant 5-15 minute trend where the price perfectly retraced to its 50% level. But how did I know where to start measuring?
This time, I used a breaker from a different structure on the 15-minute chart to identify the key level. The answer lies in understanding breakers, order blocks, and supporting structures.
If this topic resonates with you, I’d love to hear your thoughts! Let’s dive deeper together—there’s so much more to explore. Feel free to share your insights or reach out if you’re curious about how to apply these concepts more effectively
EURUSD 21.08.2024 10:11
Elliott Wave DemonstrationDemonstration of Elliott Wave Principles using Bitcoin chart:
Rules:
Wave 2 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Wave 3 is not the shortest of Wave 1, 3 and 5 => checked
Wave 4 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Guidelines:
Guideline of Alternation: Wave 2 and 4 alternates in form (sharp vs sideways), retracement (shallow vs deep) and duration (long vs short) => checked
Guideline of Wave Equality: Two out of three waves (1,3 and 5) tend to be equal in length and duration, Wave 1 and 5 meeting this guideline => checked
Momentum is highest during end of wave 3, end of Wave 5 normally creates divergence with price => checked
Volume during Wave 3 is normally the highest amongst Wave 1,3 and 5
Relations with Fib ratios:
Wave 2 retraced Wave 1 by 78.6% (deep)
Wave 3 was equal to 261.8% of Wave 1 (longest)
Wave 4 retraced Wave 3 by 38.2% (shallow)
Wave 5 was equal to 100% of Wave 1 (Guideline of Wave equality)
$RST Is a Prime Example of a Chart to AVOIDCharts that look like LSE:RST are the scariest ones to be in rn, especially in this downtrend.
literally no hope in sight, besides some crazy news sending it.
there's literally not even a trendline to go off of.
to turn bullish, it needs to have a 55% pump, and range in that $0.30 level for a while to show it built a floor.
then you might attract some bulls in.
Elementary Bitcoin in its entirety for beginnersUnlike all kinds of cryptocurrencies, the issue of Bitcoin is limited by the condition of a regular reduction in the size of the mining reward. Naturally, the American dollar will always be issued without any special restrictions. This allows you to make a basic calculation: “infinity” divided by “21 million” = “infinity”. That is, theoretically, in the infinite future, Bitcoin can cost as much as you like; based on general data, you can already calculate the nearest maximum target of $120k at the end of 2025. Of course people won't spend all their dollars on Bitcoin because they have other needs to survive. People will buy and sell Bitcoin to achieve their budget goals. Therefore, the price will not rise every day.
Looking at the figure, you can see three symbolic exponents (blue at the bottom, red at the top and orange in the middle) the struggle between buyers and sellers unfolds. But this is not a fact that the price will reach them, since the real exponential median is extended into eternity, or at least for the next hundred years until all Bitcoin is mined. The most likely upward trend will fluctuate around a straight white line. I think the price will charge below this line and shoot exponentially much higher again and again as mankind's speculative sentiment never runs out.
Therefore, in the near future, since the price has not reached its nearest maximum immediately, a break is needed to recharge. Anything can happen at once, but most likely it will drop below the previously mentioned orange exponential and below the white straight line to collect at least part of the liquidity between $28k-33k and reverse fast back to its nearest target at $120k. I believe this downward and upward movement will occur before the end of 2025. However, from my own experience, I can note that my scenarios are implemented much faster because we are not given time, we create it ourselves. Therefore, just stay in touch and watch the unfold of events vertically if you are not in a hurry. =]
I still provide brief comments as the story progresses from that “Watchlist, details and news” section in the upper right corner of the screen on the stationary monitor.
Best wishes.